DOTDOTPolkadot$0.962000+0.00%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated17:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 83 trades would have compounded to a final value of $195,584 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 83 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+1,855.8%
$10,000 →
$195,584
Win Rate
90.4%
75W / 8L
Trades
83
Sharpe
10.97
Alpha vs B&H
+1,911.39pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-55.56%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-3.69%
Sharpe Trend
-0.10
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 83-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.47%
Avg Loss
-0.57%
Best Trade
+31.24%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
22.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 35 (42%) Signal flip: 33 (40%) Trailing stop: 7 (8%) Short signal: 3 (4%) Take-profit: 3 (4%) Regime exit: 1 (1%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,855.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 83 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.18% on 17 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 41 90.2% +3.89% +367.34% 21h
BULL 17 94.1% +6.18% +163.67% 1.3d
BUBBLE 22 90.9% +2.89% +85.88% 17h
BEAR 3 66.7% +1.03% +3.02% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 83 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 09:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $7.54 $7.87 +3.86% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 09:00 $6.87 $6.90 +0.11% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 22:00 09 Jan 2025 01:00 $6.79 $6.79 -0.23% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 17:00 $6.62 $6.65 +0.19% BUBBLE 4h
10 Jan 2025 06:00 11 Jan 2025 20:00 $6.69 $6.80 +1.27% BUBBLE 1.6d
13 Jan 2025 11:00 15 Jan 2025 23:00 $6.06 $7.17 +18.03% BULL 2.5d
16 Jan 2025 12:00 16 Jan 2025 21:00 $7.29 $7.23 -1.02% BULL 10h
17 Jan 2025 10:00 17 Jan 2025 16:00 $7.42 $7.46 +0.42% BULL 7h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $6.58 $6.86 +3.74% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 07:00 $6.30 $6.77 +7.03% BUBBLE 5h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 16:00 $6.29 $6.68 +5.98% BUBBLE 16h
23 Jan 2025 11:00 24 Jan 2025 08:00 $6.31 $6.48 +2.34% BUBBLE 22h
27 Jan 2025 07:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $5.70 $5.89 +3.13% BUBBLE 19h
29 Jan 2025 01:00 30 Jan 2025 15:00 $5.74 $6.22 +8.16% BUBBLE 1.6d
31 Jan 2025 04:00 31 Jan 2025 07:00 $6.04 $6.21 +2.69% BUBBLE 4h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 19:00 $4.25 $5.17 +21.24% BULL 19h
04 Feb 2025 09:00 04 Feb 2025 11:00 $4.68 $4.78 +1.68% BUBBLE 3h
06 Feb 2025 20:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $4.58 $4.85 +5.54% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 09:00 $4.60 $4.79 +3.81% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 04:00 $4.69 $5.12 +8.97% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
11 Feb 2025 19:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $4.77 $5.26 +10.11% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Feb 2025 15:00 13 Feb 2025 18:00 $5.16 $5.17 -0.17% SIDEWAYS 4h
14 Feb 2025 07:00 14 Feb 2025 09:00 $5.18 $5.27 +1.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 09:00 16 Feb 2025 11:00 $4.97 $5.01 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 04:00 17 Feb 2025 09:00 $4.85 $4.94 +1.38% SIDEWAYS 6h
17 Feb 2025 23:00 18 Feb 2025 01:00 $4.89 $4.90 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 04:00 $4.59 $5.00 +8.50% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 19:00 $5.02 $5.04 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Feb 2025 20:00 21 Feb 2025 22:00 $5.04 $5.09 +0.84% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 13:00 $4.37 $4.76 +8.61% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Feb 2025 05:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $4.88 $5.06 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Feb 2025 06:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $4.54 $4.71 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 19h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $4.68 $4.60 -2.25% BEAR 13h
04 Mar 2025 04:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $4.25 $4.35 +1.70% BEAR 1.5d
06 Mar 2025 21:00 07 Mar 2025 11:00 $4.43 $4.63 +4.03% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.02 $4.15 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $3.89 $4.09 +5.09% SIDEWAYS 18h
13 Mar 2025 14:00 15 Mar 2025 10:00 $3.99 $4.33 +8.13% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
16 Mar 2025 10:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.25 $4.34 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 2d
18 Mar 2025 21:00 19 Mar 2025 16:00 $4.42 $4.54 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 20h
20 Mar 2025 17:00 22 Mar 2025 01:00 $4.37 $4.46 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
23 Mar 2025 03:00 24 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.45 $4.75 +6.31% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Mar 2025 02:00 25 Mar 2025 09:00 $4.63 $4.65 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 8h
26 Mar 2025 02:00 26 Mar 2025 11:00 $4.62 $4.75 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 10h
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 21:00 $4.54 $4.66 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 9h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.13 $4.17 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Mar 2025 21:00 31 Mar 2025 02:00 $4.04 $4.06 -0.11% SIDEWAYS 6h
31 Mar 2025 15:00 01 Apr 2025 13:00 $4.06 $4.20 +3.30% SIDEWAYS 23h
03 Apr 2025 00:00 04 Apr 2025 07:00 $4.04 $4.08 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
05 Apr 2025 17:00 05 Apr 2025 19:00 $3.93 $3.93 -0.17% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $3.33 $3.62 +8.37% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Apr 2025 00:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $3.36 $3.73 +10.80% SIDEWAYS 21h
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 21:00 $3.50 $3.72 +5.96% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
16 Apr 2025 01:00 18 Apr 2025 13:00 $3.55 $3.72 +4.48% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
19 Apr 2025 02:00 20 Apr 2025 01:00 $3.72 $3.89 +4.12% SIDEWAYS 24h
20 Apr 2025 14:00 20 Apr 2025 17:00 $3.87 $3.90 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $3.79 $4.17 +9.47% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Apr 2025 03:00 25 Apr 2025 00:00 $3.98 $4.30 +7.82% SIDEWAYS 22h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 06:00 $4.03 $4.31 +6.48% BULL 1.3d
30 Apr 2025 14:00 02 May 2025 02:00 $4.08 $4.27 +4.18% BULL 1.5d
06 May 2025 01:00 10 May 2025 09:00 $3.90 $5.13 +31.24% BULL 4.4d
11 May 2025 08:00 11 May 2025 18:00 $4.99 $5.13 +2.26% BULL 11h
13 May 2025 01:00 13 May 2025 17:00 $4.94 $5.14 +3.66% BULL 17h
15 May 2025 15:00 16 May 2025 09:00 $4.84 $4.91 +1.22% BULL 19h
17 May 2025 19:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $4.59 $4.91 +6.61% BUBBLE 21h
19 May 2025 07:00 21 May 2025 16:00 $4.50 $4.83 +7.04% BUBBLE 2.4d
22 May 2025 05:00 22 May 2025 22:00 $4.81 $4.92 +1.97% BUBBLE 18h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 08:00 $4.58 $4.61 +0.46% BUBBLE 8h
25 May 2025 11:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $4.46 $4.57 +2.03% BUBBLE 14h
26 May 2025 13:00 27 May 2025 16:00 $4.49 $4.59 +1.76% BUBBLE 1.2d
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $4.51 $4.65 +2.77% BUBBLE 4h
31 May 2025 01:00 01 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.96 $4.04 +1.47% BUBBLE 1.3d
01 Jun 2025 21:00 02 Jun 2025 21:00 $4.06 $4.13 +1.35% BUBBLE 1d
05 Jun 2025 22:00 06 Jun 2025 23:00 $3.83 $3.90 +1.42% BULL 1.1d
08 Jun 2025 02:00 08 Jun 2025 16:00 $4.02 $4.10 +1.57% BULL 15h
09 Jun 2025 05:00 10 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.97 $4.12 +3.20% BULL 1.2d
10 Jun 2025 21:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $4.26 $4.25 -0.50% SIDEWAYS 5h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.72 $3.79 +1.25% BUBBLE 1.6d
15 Jun 2025 03:00 16 Jun 2025 13:00 $3.79 $3.94 +3.78% BULL 1.5d
20 Jun 2025 05:00 20 Jun 2025 12:00 $3.49 $3.56 +1.87% BULL 8h
21 Jun 2025 01:00 21 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.46 $3.51 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 8h
22 Jun 2025 17:00 24 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.18 $3.46 +8.35% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
27 Jun 2025 03:00 29 Jun 2025 22:00 $3.35 $3.57 +6.17% BULL 2.8d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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90.4% Win Rate +1,855.8% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees