DOTDOTPolkadot$0.969000+0.10%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.6M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 53 trades would have compounded to a final value of $37,395 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 53 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+274.0%
$10,000 →
$37,395
Win Rate
79.3%
42W / 11L
Trades
53
Sharpe
13.56
Alpha vs B&H
+329.75pp
Risk / Reward
77.85×
B&H Return
-55.81%
Max Drawdown
-3.52%
Avg Drawdown
-2.71%
Sharpe Trend
-6.71
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 53-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.02%
Avg Loss
-1.29%
Best Trade
+26.26%
Worst Trade
-3.52%
Avg Bars Held
14.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 23 (43%) Signal flip: 22 (42%) Trailing stop: 3 (6%) Short signal: 3 (6%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +274.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 79.3%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 53 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.20% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 32 75.0% +2.94% +143.70% 14h
BEAR 15 80.0% +1.80% +29.99% 13h
BULL 3 100.0% +8.20% +26.45% 17h
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +2.93% +8.98% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 53 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 07:00 $4.27 $4.36 +1.72% BUBBLE 6h
05 Oct 2025 20:00 06 Oct 2025 13:00 $4.12 $4.39 +6.17% BUBBLE 18h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 08 Oct 2025 18:00 $4.17 $4.22 +0.91% BUBBLE 18h
09 Oct 2025 14:00 10 Oct 2025 11:00 $4.02 $4.18 +3.72% BULL 22h
11 Oct 2025 01:00 11 Oct 2025 08:00 $2.91 $3.28 +12.51% BULL 8h
11 Oct 2025 21:00 12 Oct 2025 17:00 $3.00 $3.26 +8.36% BULL 21h
13 Oct 2025 08:00 13 Oct 2025 13:00 $3.34 $3.34 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 6h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 01:00 $3.12 $3.23 +3.37% SIDEWAYS 19h
16 Oct 2025 21:00 16 Oct 2025 23:00 $3.03 $3.02 -0.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Oct 2025 09:00 19 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.94 $3.02 +2.30% SIDEWAYS 9h
20 Oct 2025 06:00 20 Oct 2025 08:00 $3.11 $3.08 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $2.96 $3.13 +5.27% SIDEWAYS 10h
22 Oct 2025 21:00 25 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.87 $3.07 +6.46% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
25 Oct 2025 15:00 25 Oct 2025 19:00 $3.07 $3.09 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 5h
26 Oct 2025 08:00 26 Oct 2025 13:00 $3.11 $3.18 +2.00% SIDEWAYS 6h
28 Oct 2025 21:00 29 Oct 2025 17:00 $3.03 $3.17 +4.32% SIDEWAYS 21h
30 Oct 2025 18:00 01 Nov 2025 18:00 $2.81 $2.95 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 2d
02 Nov 2025 15:00 02 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.91 $2.99 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 9h
03 Nov 2025 16:00 03 Nov 2025 17:00 $2.62 $2.66 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 2h
04 Nov 2025 06:00 04 Nov 2025 15:00 $2.56 $2.60 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 10h
05 Nov 2025 04:00 06 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.56 $2.60 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Nov 2025 22:00 08 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.67 $3.38 +26.26% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
08 Nov 2025 15:00 09 Nov 2025 00:00 $3.13 $3.26 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 10h
09 Nov 2025 14:00 09 Nov 2025 15:00 $3.21 $3.24 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 2h
10 Nov 2025 04:00 10 Nov 2025 10:00 $3.24 $3.23 -0.50% SIDEWAYS 7h
12 Nov 2025 19:00 13 Nov 2025 05:00 $2.90 $3.03 +4.01% SIDEWAYS 11h
14 Nov 2025 05:00 14 Nov 2025 06:00 $2.88 $2.92 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 01:00 15 Nov 2025 05:00 $2.87 $2.90 +0.82% BEAR 5h
16 Nov 2025 14:00 16 Nov 2025 20:00 $2.83 $2.76 -2.75% BEAR 7h
17 Nov 2025 10:00 17 Nov 2025 12:00 $2.81 $2.83 +0.02% BEAR 3h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $2.69 $2.79 +3.34% BEAR 16h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.62 $2.75 +4.84% BEAR 17h
21 Nov 2025 08:00 21 Nov 2025 11:00 $2.42 $2.35 -3.52% BEAR 4h
24 Nov 2025 00:00 24 Nov 2025 20:00 $2.28 $2.39 +4.23% BEAR 21h
25 Nov 2025 13:00 26 Nov 2025 10:00 $2.24 $2.28 +1.42% BEAR 22h
26 Nov 2025 23:00 27 Nov 2025 17:00 $2.34 $2.37 +0.90% BEAR 19h
01 Dec 2025 13:00 02 Dec 2025 16:00 $2.03 $2.28 +11.93% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
03 Dec 2025 05:00 03 Dec 2025 16:00 $2.32 $2.30 -1.23% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Dec 2025 09:00 06 Dec 2025 15:00 $2.10 $2.12 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 7h
07 Dec 2025 10:00 07 Dec 2025 20:00 $2.09 $2.15 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 11h
08 Dec 2025 10:00 08 Dec 2025 22:00 $2.15 $2.14 -1.05% SIDEWAYS 13h
09 Dec 2025 16:00 09 Dec 2025 23:00 $2.34 $2.29 -2.19% SIDEWAYS 8h
11 Dec 2025 17:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $2.01 $2.08 +2.76% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 13 Dec 2025 15:00 $1.96 $2.05 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 24h
15 Dec 2025 17:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $1.85 $1.90 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
18 Dec 2025 06:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.79 $1.87 +4.50% BEAR 8h
19 Dec 2025 02:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $1.74 $1.87 +6.97% BEAR 18h
21 Dec 2025 05:00 21 Dec 2025 08:00 $1.81 $1.84 +1.24% BEAR 4h
21 Dec 2025 21:00 22 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.77 $1.83 +3.24% BEAR 17h
23 Dec 2025 07:00 23 Dec 2025 12:00 $1.76 $1.76 -0.25% BEAR 6h
25 Dec 2025 15:00 25 Dec 2025 18:00 $1.73 $1.73 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Dec 2025 07:00 27 Dec 2025 21:00 $1.72 $1.88 +9.15% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
30 Dec 2025 06:00 30 Dec 2025 08:00 $1.81 $1.83 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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79.3% Win Rate +274.0% Return -3.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees