FETFETFetch.ai$0.190200-3.01%
24h High$0.20
24h Low$0.19
Volume$10.9M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / FET / FET — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for FET - Fetch.ai. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 62 trades would have compounded to a final value of $120,241 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 62 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.55
Alpha vs B&H
+1,167.91pp
Risk / Reward
77.34×
B&H Return
-65.50%
Max Drawdown
-14.25%
Avg Drawdown
-5.38%
Sharpe Trend
+17.26
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — FET — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for FET over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 62-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+6.26%
Avg Loss
-3.07%
Best Trade
+36.34%
Worst Trade
-18.21%
Avg Bars Held
13.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 32 (52%) Signal flip: 23 (37%) Short signal: 3 (5%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%) Regime exit: 1 (2%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,102.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 80.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 62 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.84% on 37 trades, WR 89%.
  • Weakest regime: BULL — avg -6.41% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 37 89.2% +5.84% +656.97% 14h
BEAR 21 71.4% +3.67% +107.99% 13h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +2.45% +2.45% 5h
BULL 3 33.3% -6.41% -19.26% 6h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 62 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.59 $0.61 +2.45% BUBBLE 5h
10 Oct 2025 21:00 10 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.39 $0.32 -18.21% BULL 2h
11 Oct 2025 11:00 11 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.42 $0.40 -5.66% BULL 7h
12 Oct 2025 06:00 12 Oct 2025 15:00 $0.38 $0.39 +4.64% BULL 10h
14 Oct 2025 21:00 15 Oct 2025 03:00 $0.31 $0.31 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Oct 2025 08:00 16 Oct 2025 12:00 $0.29 $0.29 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 5h
17 Oct 2025 07:00 17 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.26 $0.27 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 7h
19 Oct 2025 11:00 19 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.27 $0.30 +9.31% SIDEWAYS 7h
20 Oct 2025 02:00 20 Oct 2025 04:00 $0.28 $0.29 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Oct 2025 19:00 24 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.24 $0.26 +9.53% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
25 Oct 2025 08:00 26 Oct 2025 19:00 $0.26 $0.28 +7.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
28 Oct 2025 04:00 28 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.26 $0.28 +4.28% SIDEWAYS 10h
28 Oct 2025 21:00 29 Oct 2025 20:00 $0.25 $0.27 +6.08% SIDEWAYS 24h
30 Oct 2025 18:00 01 Nov 2025 21:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.84% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
03 Nov 2025 21:00 04 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.21 $0.21 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 08:00 04 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.20 $0.21 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 13:00 05 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.21 $0.22 +7.57% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
06 Nov 2025 08:00 07 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.21 $0.29 +36.34% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
07 Nov 2025 17:00 07 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.34 $0.40 +18.68% SIDEWAYS 2h
08 Nov 2025 00:00 08 Nov 2025 02:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Nov 2025 07:00 08 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.36 $0.41 +11.47% SIDEWAYS 2h
08 Nov 2025 10:00 08 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.36 $0.39 +6.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Nov 2025 16:00 08 Nov 2025 20:00 $0.34 $0.34 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Nov 2025 07:00 09 Nov 2025 19:00 $0.29 $0.34 +17.06% SIDEWAYS 13h
09 Nov 2025 21:00 09 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Nov 2025 01:00 10 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 8h
10 Nov 2025 15:00 11 Nov 2025 01:00 $0.34 $0.37 +8.45% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Nov 2025 13:00 11 Nov 2025 15:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 00:00 12 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.33 $0.33 -0.47% SIDEWAYS 4h
14 Nov 2025 05:00 14 Nov 2025 07:00 $0.28 $0.28 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Nov 2025 21:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.28 $0.27 -2.06% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.28 $0.30 +6.08% BEAR 11h
15 Nov 2025 14:00 15 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.30 $0.29 -2.84% BEAR 5h
16 Nov 2025 14:00 17 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.28 $0.28 +1.21% BEAR 1d
17 Nov 2025 22:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.27 $0.32 +18.20% BEAR 19h
19 Nov 2025 01:00 19 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.29 $0.31 +5.42% BEAR 12h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 19 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.30 $0.33 +9.39% BEAR 8h
20 Nov 2025 03:00 20 Nov 2025 10:00 $0.32 $0.33 +2.86% BEAR 8h
20 Nov 2025 18:00 20 Nov 2025 20:00 $0.31 $0.31 -0.22% BEAR 3h
21 Nov 2025 08:00 21 Nov 2025 10:00 $0.29 $0.28 -1.62% BEAR 3h
21 Nov 2025 13:00 21 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.28 $0.30 +4.62% BEAR 11h
22 Nov 2025 14:00 23 Nov 2025 13:00 $0.27 $0.29 +7.00% BEAR 24h
24 Nov 2025 05:00 24 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.28 $0.29 +0.75% BEAR 13h
25 Nov 2025 12:00 25 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.28 $0.27 -3.65% BEAR 3h
25 Nov 2025 16:00 25 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.27 $0.28 +4.37% BEAR 8h
26 Nov 2025 16:00 27 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.26 $0.27 +2.32% BEAR 20h
28 Nov 2025 01:00 28 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.26 $0.28 +6.72% BEAR 8h
01 Dec 2025 13:00 02 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.26 +14.90% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
05 Dec 2025 17:00 06 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.64% SIDEWAYS 21h
07 Dec 2025 09:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.50% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 10 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.26 +9.40% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.47% SIDEWAYS 5h
11 Dec 2025 17:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.64% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Dec 2025 01:00 12 Dec 2025 03:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 13 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.61% SIDEWAYS 18h
13 Dec 2025 11:00 13 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.25 $0.25 -1.61% SIDEWAYS 5h
15 Dec 2025 19:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 21h
18 Dec 2025 06:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.20 $0.21 +4.64% BEAR 8h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.20 $0.22 +10.11% BEAR 24h
21 Dec 2025 13:00 23 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.22% BEAR 2d
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.20 $0.21 +3.89% BEAR 6h
24 Dec 2025 07:00 25 Dec 2025 04:00 $0.20 $0.21 +4.18% SIDEWAYS 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

80.7% Win Rate +1,102.4% Return -14.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees