FETFETFetch.ai$0.186400-4.80%
24h High$0.20
24h Low$0.19
Volume$11.3M
Updated18:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / FET / FET — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for FET - Fetch.ai. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 117 trades would have compounded to a final value of $3,398,239 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 117 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+33,879.50pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+2.89%
Max Drawdown
-2.47%
Avg Drawdown
-4.59%
Sharpe Trend
-6.20
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — FET — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for FET over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 117-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+6.13%
Avg Loss
-1.17%
Best Trade
+21.62%
Worst Trade
-2.85%
Avg Bars Held
15.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 60 (51%) Forward-pred: 47 (40%) Short signal: 4 (3%) Trailing stop: 3 (3%) Take-profit: 2 (2%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +33,882.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 89.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.5%.
  • Robust sample: 117 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.46% on 8 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 57 93.0% +5.77% +2,184.26% 17h
BUBBLE 52 86.5% +4.49% +837.73% 13h
BULL 8 87.5% +8.46% +88.61% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 117 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jul 2024 00:00 08 Jul 2024 08:00 $1.10 $1.23 +11.29% SIDEWAYS 9h
08 Jul 2024 11:00 09 Jul 2024 21:00 $1.21 $1.20 -1.32% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
11 Jul 2024 04:00 11 Jul 2024 11:00 $1.19 $1.22 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 8h
12 Jul 2024 09:00 13 Jul 2024 00:00 $1.13 $1.20 +5.85% SIDEWAYS 16h
13 Jul 2024 21:00 14 Jul 2024 18:00 $1.15 $1.19 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 22h
14 Jul 2024 22:00 15 Jul 2024 19:00 $1.23 $1.34 +8.33% SIDEWAYS 22h
16 Jul 2024 06:00 17 Jul 2024 08:00 $1.36 $1.53 +12.28% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
19 Jul 2024 01:00 20 Jul 2024 04:00 $1.37 $1.50 +9.53% BULL 1.2d
21 Jul 2024 13:00 22 Jul 2024 02:00 $1.42 $1.47 +2.53% BULL 14h
25 Jul 2024 19:00 27 Jul 2024 11:00 $1.17 $1.29 +10.17% BULL 1.7d
28 Jul 2024 22:00 29 Jul 2024 06:00 $1.24 $1.31 +5.72% BULL 9h
01 Aug 2024 15:00 02 Aug 2024 00:00 $1.10 $1.15 +3.48% BUBBLE 10h
04 Aug 2024 17:00 04 Aug 2024 19:00 $0.89 $0.96 +8.03% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Aug 2024 12:00 05 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.74 $0.78 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Aug 2024 19:00 06 Aug 2024 05:00 $0.78 $0.89 +13.56% SIDEWAYS 11h
06 Aug 2024 07:00 07 Aug 2024 09:00 $0.87 $0.89 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
07 Aug 2024 23:00 08 Aug 2024 02:00 $0.81 $0.86 +4.99% SIDEWAYS 4h
08 Aug 2024 04:00 08 Aug 2024 21:00 $0.85 $0.88 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Aug 2024 23:00 09 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.88 $0.89 +0.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Aug 2024 13:00 10 Aug 2024 23:00 $0.84 $0.90 +6.19% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
12 Aug 2024 01:00 12 Aug 2024 11:00 $0.83 $0.89 +7.40% SIDEWAYS 11h
12 Aug 2024 13:00 13 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.88 $0.86 -2.47% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Aug 2024 04:00 14 Aug 2024 10:00 $0.83 $0.90 +8.19% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
15 Aug 2024 18:00 16 Aug 2024 09:00 $0.82 $0.87 +6.26% SIDEWAYS 16h
19 Aug 2024 00:00 20 Aug 2024 02:00 $0.82 $0.92 +11.54% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
21 Aug 2024 01:00 22 Aug 2024 10:00 $0.87 $1.04 +19.00% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
22 Aug 2024 14:00 23 Aug 2024 21:00 $0.98 $1.20 +21.62% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Aug 2024 05:00 25 Aug 2024 21:00 $1.24 $1.39 +11.83% SIDEWAYS 17h
25 Aug 2024 23:00 26 Aug 2024 01:00 $1.39 $1.35 -2.85% SIDEWAYS 3h
26 Aug 2024 06:00 26 Aug 2024 12:00 $1.31 $1.36 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Aug 2024 17:00 27 Aug 2024 19:00 $1.29 $1.36 +5.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Aug 2024 08:00 28 Aug 2024 09:00 $1.22 $1.32 +7.51% SIDEWAYS 2h
28 Aug 2024 23:00 29 Aug 2024 02:00 $1.18 $1.21 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 4h
29 Aug 2024 05:00 29 Aug 2024 07:00 $1.17 $1.23 +4.63% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Aug 2024 08:00 31 Aug 2024 00:00 $1.11 $1.23 +10.54% SIDEWAYS 17h
01 Sep 2024 02:00 01 Sep 2024 07:00 $1.13 $1.20 +5.85% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Sep 2024 11:00 01 Sep 2024 17:00 $1.15 $1.16 +0.28% SIDEWAYS 7h
02 Sep 2024 00:00 02 Sep 2024 22:00 $1.14 $1.24 +8.17% SIDEWAYS 23h
03 Sep 2024 00:00 03 Sep 2024 02:00 $1.23 $1.22 -1.38% SIDEWAYS 3h
03 Sep 2024 23:00 04 Sep 2024 21:00 $1.13 $1.15 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 23h
06 Sep 2024 08:00 06 Sep 2024 12:00 $1.06 $1.11 +4.00% SIDEWAYS 5h
06 Sep 2024 19:00 08 Sep 2024 15:00 $1.04 $1.06 +1.76% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
08 Sep 2024 17:00 09 Sep 2024 20:00 $1.08 $1.21 +12.11% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
11 Sep 2024 06:00 12 Sep 2024 09:00 $1.30 $1.39 +6.35% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Sep 2024 21:00 19 Sep 2024 09:00 $1.26 $1.52 +20.11% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
20 Sep 2024 00:00 21 Sep 2024 01:00 $1.49 $1.59 +6.48% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
21 Sep 2024 05:00 21 Sep 2024 08:00 $1.58 $1.62 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Sep 2024 14:00 23 Sep 2024 05:00 $1.57 $1.69 +6.61% SIDEWAYS 16h
23 Sep 2024 09:00 23 Sep 2024 15:00 $1.63 $1.69 +3.11% SIDEWAYS 7h
24 Sep 2024 08:00 25 Sep 2024 01:00 $1.69 $1.72 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 18h
26 Sep 2024 00:00 26 Sep 2024 16:00 $1.63 $1.67 +1.71% SIDEWAYS 17h
26 Sep 2024 21:00 27 Sep 2024 16:00 $1.63 $1.73 +6.19% SIDEWAYS 20h
29 Sep 2024 02:00 30 Sep 2024 01:00 $1.61 $1.60 -0.53% BULL 24h
30 Sep 2024 23:00 01 Oct 2024 09:00 $1.54 $1.64 +5.72% BULL 11h
03 Oct 2024 15:00 05 Oct 2024 00:00 $1.36 $1.48 +8.77% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
05 Oct 2024 20:00 07 Oct 2024 01:00 $1.38 $1.53 +10.58% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
07 Oct 2024 11:00 07 Oct 2024 13:00 $1.49 $1.51 +1.30% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Oct 2024 15:00 11 Oct 2024 21:00 $1.30 $1.42 +8.81% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
11 Oct 2024 23:00 12 Oct 2024 10:00 $1.42 $1.44 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 12h
13 Oct 2024 15:00 14 Oct 2024 19:00 $1.40 $1.52 +7.69% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
15 Oct 2024 12:00 15 Oct 2024 13:00 $1.44 $1.51 +4.72% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Oct 2024 15:00 15 Oct 2024 17:00 $1.45 $1.46 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Oct 2024 21:00 16 Oct 2024 00:00 $1.43 $1.44 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Oct 2024 12:00 17 Oct 2024 14:00 $1.37 $1.38 +0.27% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 18:00 19 Oct 2024 01:00 $1.35 $1.42 +5.47% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
20 Oct 2024 03:00 21 Oct 2024 01:00 $1.38 $1.46 +5.91% BUBBLE 23h
23 Oct 2024 13:00 24 Oct 2024 05:00 $1.33 $1.37 +3.30% BUBBLE 17h
24 Oct 2024 07:00 24 Oct 2024 13:00 $1.36 $1.35 -0.90% BUBBLE 7h
27 Oct 2024 02:00 27 Oct 2024 16:00 $1.24 $1.27 +1.68% BUBBLE 15h
28 Oct 2024 14:00 29 Oct 2024 18:00 $1.24 $1.35 +8.24% BUBBLE 1.2d
31 Oct 2024 05:00 31 Oct 2024 21:00 $1.29 $1.32 +1.99% BUBBLE 17h
03 Nov 2024 14:00 04 Nov 2024 02:00 $1.13 $1.16 +1.61% BUBBLE 13h
04 Nov 2024 20:00 06 Nov 2024 14:00 $1.13 $1.37 +21.05% BUBBLE 1.8d
10 Nov 2024 21:00 12 Nov 2024 00:00 $1.42 $1.63 +13.79% BUBBLE 1.2d
13 Nov 2024 05:00 13 Nov 2024 07:00 $1.27 $1.30 +2.34% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 09:00 13 Nov 2024 11:00 $1.29 $1.33 +2.29% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 20:00 13 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.25 $1.27 +1.11% BUBBLE 4h
14 Nov 2024 01:00 14 Nov 2024 05:00 $1.25 $1.33 +5.66% BUBBLE 5h
14 Nov 2024 16:00 14 Nov 2024 18:00 $1.26 $1.28 +1.51% BULL 3h
15 Nov 2024 01:00 16 Nov 2024 06:00 $1.22 $1.27 +3.73% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Nov 2024 08:00 16 Nov 2024 12:00 $1.29 $1.31 +1.32% BUBBLE 5h
17 Nov 2024 03:00 17 Nov 2024 05:00 $1.26 $1.31 +3.48% BUBBLE 3h
17 Nov 2024 21:00 18 Nov 2024 17:00 $1.25 $1.38 +9.79% BUBBLE 21h
18 Nov 2024 19:00 18 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.34 $1.36 +1.46% BUBBLE 5h
20 Nov 2024 03:00 20 Nov 2024 07:00 $1.26 $1.29 +1.97% BUBBLE 5h
20 Nov 2024 09:00 20 Nov 2024 13:00 $1.31 $1.29 -1.40% BUBBLE 5h
21 Nov 2024 03:00 22 Nov 2024 03:00 $1.21 $1.28 +5.52% BUBBLE 1d
22 Nov 2024 15:00 23 Nov 2024 14:00 $1.24 $1.43 +15.73% BUBBLE 24h
23 Nov 2024 19:00 23 Nov 2024 22:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.38% BUBBLE 4h
24 Nov 2024 12:00 24 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.46 $1.53 +4.43% BUBBLE 12h
25 Nov 2024 23:00 26 Nov 2024 01:00 $1.45 $1.46 +0.21% BUBBLE 3h
26 Nov 2024 13:00 27 Nov 2024 21:00 $1.34 $1.48 +10.02% BUBBLE 1.4d
28 Nov 2024 09:00 28 Nov 2024 20:00 $1.47 $1.71 +15.34% BUBBLE 12h
29 Nov 2024 00:00 30 Nov 2024 13:00 $1.67 $1.91 +13.96% BUBBLE 1.6d
01 Dec 2024 21:00 02 Dec 2024 00:00 $1.80 $1.81 -0.03% BUBBLE 4h
02 Dec 2024 09:00 03 Dec 2024 03:00 $1.78 $1.92 +7.82% BUBBLE 19h
03 Dec 2024 07:00 03 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.87 $1.87 -0.47% BUBBLE 3h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 04 Dec 2024 01:00 $1.86 $1.95 +4.24% BUBBLE 12h
04 Dec 2024 03:00 04 Dec 2024 05:00 $1.91 $1.97 +3.20% BUBBLE 3h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 16:00 $1.80 $2.03 +12.47% BUBBLE 16h
05 Dec 2024 19:00 06 Dec 2024 06:00 $2.00 $2.07 +3.20% BUBBLE 12h
06 Dec 2024 08:00 06 Dec 2024 19:00 $2.09 $2.17 +3.86% BUBBLE 12h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 09 Dec 2024 23:00 $1.69 $1.71 +0.47% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 03:00 10 Dec 2024 06:00 $1.63 $1.76 +7.55% BUBBLE 4h
10 Dec 2024 16:00 12 Dec 2024 02:00 $1.62 $1.88 +15.91% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Dec 2024 16:00 13 Dec 2024 21:00 $1.77 $1.80 +1.22% BUBBLE 6h
14 Dec 2024 21:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $1.70 $1.82 +6.72% BUBBLE 1.2d
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 05:00 $1.37 $1.43 +3.99% BUBBLE 4h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $1.30 $1.30 -0.39% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 09:00 21 Dec 2024 02:00 $1.21 $1.36 +12.40% BUBBLE 18h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 22 Dec 2024 04:00 $1.27 $1.25 -1.77% BUBBLE 3h
22 Dec 2024 06:00 22 Dec 2024 10:00 $1.26 $1.30 +2.36% BUBBLE 5h
22 Dec 2024 19:00 24 Dec 2024 06:00 $1.26 $1.35 +6.89% BUBBLE 1.5d
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.25 $1.34 +6.99% BUBBLE 13h
27 Dec 2024 11:00 27 Dec 2024 13:00 $1.34 $1.34 -0.56% BUBBLE 3h
28 Dec 2024 05:00 29 Dec 2024 01:00 $1.31 $1.35 +2.90% BUBBLE 21h
30 Dec 2024 15:00 30 Dec 2024 19:00 $1.27 $1.33 +4.57% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

89.7% Win Rate +33,882.4% Return -2.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees