ICPICPInternet Computer$2.3000+1.41%
24h High$2.32
24h Low$2.24
Volume$3.7M
Updated23:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ICP / ICP — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ICP Internet Computer Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ICP - Internet Computer. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 61 trades would have compounded to a final value of $71,182 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 61 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Internet Computer (ICP) aims to extend the internet's functionality by enabling smart contracts to run at web speed with unlimited capacity. Developed by DFINITY, ICP represents an ambitious attempt at decentralized cloud computing. After a turbulent launch, ICP has found its trading range with strong momentum patterns during protocol upgrade announcements and ecosystem growth periods.

ICP — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Internet Computer (ICP) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.23
Alpha vs B&H
+637.92pp
Risk / Reward
80.24×
B&H Return
-26.10%
Max Drawdown
-7.62%
Avg Drawdown
-4.65%
Sharpe Trend
-14.21
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — ICP — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ICP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 61-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.59%
Avg Loss
-2.51%
Best Trade
+26.03%
Worst Trade
-5.58%
Avg Bars Held
14.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 26 (43%) Signal flip: 13 (21%) Short signal: 13 (21%) Trailing stop: 6 (10%) Stop-loss: 3 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +611.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 88.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 61 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.80% on 22 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 39 82.1% +3.19% +224.94% 17h
SIDEWAYS 22 100.0% +4.80% +170.66% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 61 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 03:00 04 Jan 2026 16:00 $3.16 $3.29 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 14h
04 Jan 2026 18:00 05 Jan 2026 01:00 $3.28 $3.32 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 8h
05 Jan 2026 06:00 06 Jan 2026 01:00 $3.25 $3.41 +4.57% SIDEWAYS 20h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 06 Jan 2026 22:00 $3.27 $3.37 +2.65% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Jan 2026 05:00 07 Jan 2026 07:00 $3.27 $3.35 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Jan 2026 10:00 09 Jan 2026 15:00 $3.14 $3.28 +4.36% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Jan 2026 20:00 09 Jan 2026 22:00 $3.18 $3.22 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Jan 2026 23:00 12 Jan 2026 01:00 $3.14 $3.18 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Jan 2026 09:00 13 Jan 2026 15:00 $3.13 $3.68 +17.07% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Jan 2026 17:00 14 Jan 2026 20:00 $3.55 $4.49 +26.03% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
14 Jan 2026 22:00 15 Jan 2026 00:00 $4.52 $4.74 +4.81% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 03:00 15 Jan 2026 05:00 $4.44 $4.67 +4.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 12:00 16 Jan 2026 01:00 $4.28 $4.49 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 14h
18 Jan 2026 02:00 18 Jan 2026 13:00 $4.00 $4.02 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 12h
19 Jan 2026 00:00 19 Jan 2026 08:00 $3.74 $4.32 +15.09% SIDEWAYS 9h
20 Jan 2026 14:00 20 Jan 2026 16:00 $3.67 $3.76 +2.25% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Jan 2026 23:00 21 Jan 2026 01:00 $3.69 $3.76 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 26 Jan 2026 16:00 $3.24 $3.38 +4.25% SIDEWAYS 21h
27 Jan 2026 14:00 27 Jan 2026 16:00 $3.26 $3.35 +2.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Jan 2026 16:00 29 Jan 2026 21:00 $3.05 $3.07 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 6h
30 Jan 2026 16:00 30 Jan 2026 18:00 $3.00 $3.04 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 09:00 $2.75 $2.76 -0.01% BEAR 8h
02 Feb 2026 00:00 02 Feb 2026 13:00 $2.64 $2.72 +2.69% BEAR 14h
03 Feb 2026 16:00 03 Feb 2026 18:00 $2.68 $2.58 -4.30% BEAR 3h
03 Feb 2026 20:00 04 Feb 2026 08:00 $2.65 $2.76 +3.83% BEAR 13h
06 Feb 2026 00:00 06 Feb 2026 17:00 $2.09 $2.55 +21.54% BEAR 18h
06 Feb 2026 19:00 07 Feb 2026 02:00 $2.48 $2.51 +0.73% BEAR 8h
07 Feb 2026 08:00 07 Feb 2026 18:00 $2.42 $2.52 +3.75% BEAR 11h
09 Feb 2026 11:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $2.36 $2.44 +3.35% BEAR 7h
10 Feb 2026 15:00 11 Feb 2026 02:00 $2.35 $2.40 +1.57% BEAR 12h
11 Feb 2026 08:00 11 Feb 2026 13:00 $2.30 $2.35 +1.83% BEAR 6h
11 Feb 2026 16:00 12 Feb 2026 09:00 $2.34 $2.46 +4.78% BEAR 18h
13 Feb 2026 01:00 14 Feb 2026 04:00 $2.31 $2.40 +3.50% BEAR 1.2d
14 Feb 2026 06:00 14 Feb 2026 20:00 $2.38 $2.58 +8.02% BEAR 15h
15 Feb 2026 19:00 16 Feb 2026 00:00 $2.37 $2.42 +1.56% BEAR 6h
16 Feb 2026 16:00 17 Feb 2026 01:00 $2.37 $2.41 +1.44% BEAR 10h
19 Feb 2026 18:00 21 Feb 2026 13:00 $2.16 $2.27 +4.57% BEAR 1.8d
23 Feb 2026 14:00 24 Feb 2026 00:00 $2.08 $2.11 +0.98% BEAR 11h
24 Feb 2026 06:00 25 Feb 2026 19:00 $2.03 $2.45 +20.40% BEAR 1.6d
26 Feb 2026 09:00 27 Feb 2026 05:00 $2.41 $2.63 +9.05% BEAR 21h
27 Feb 2026 07:00 27 Feb 2026 16:00 $2.60 $2.47 -5.58% BEAR 10h
27 Feb 2026 20:00 28 Feb 2026 01:00 $2.50 $2.45 -2.17% BEAR 6h
28 Feb 2026 07:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $2.34 $2.46 +4.52% BEAR 14h
01 Mar 2026 21:00 02 Mar 2026 13:00 $2.35 $2.39 +1.00% BEAR 17h
02 Mar 2026 15:00 02 Mar 2026 19:00 $2.50 $2.43 -3.27% BEAR 5h
03 Mar 2026 20:00 04 Mar 2026 08:00 $2.45 $2.61 +6.18% BEAR 13h
05 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 10:00 $2.49 $2.61 +4.74% BEAR 17h
08 Mar 2026 01:00 09 Mar 2026 18:00 $2.41 $2.48 +2.62% BEAR 1.8d
10 Mar 2026 00:00 10 Mar 2026 04:00 $2.45 $2.50 +1.89% BEAR 5h
11 Mar 2026 01:00 11 Mar 2026 16:00 $2.40 $2.63 +9.20% BEAR 16h
11 Mar 2026 18:00 12 Mar 2026 23:00 $2.62 $2.71 +3.45% BEAR 1.3d
15 Mar 2026 02:00 15 Mar 2026 16:00 $2.70 $2.65 -2.25% BEAR 15h
16 Mar 2026 02:00 17 Mar 2026 01:00 $2.66 $2.80 +4.80% BEAR 24h
19 Mar 2026 13:00 19 Mar 2026 21:00 $2.48 $2.49 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 9h
23 Mar 2026 01:00 24 Mar 2026 01:00 $2.35 $2.40 +1.51% BEAR 1d
24 Mar 2026 17:00 24 Mar 2026 22:00 $2.35 $2.40 +1.47% BEAR 6h
25 Mar 2026 01:00 26 Mar 2026 01:00 $2.40 $2.40 +0.00% BEAR 1d
26 Mar 2026 16:00 27 Mar 2026 01:00 $2.28 $2.32 +1.68% BEAR 10h
28 Mar 2026 01:00 28 Mar 2026 16:00 $2.21 $2.28 +2.96% BEAR 16h
29 Mar 2026 02:00 31 Mar 2026 08:00 $2.23 $2.26 +0.84% BEAR 2.3d
31 Mar 2026 10:00 31 Mar 2026 22:00 $2.26 $2.30 +1.57% BEAR 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ICP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Internet Computer Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ICP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

88.5% Win Rate +611.8% Return -7.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees