ICPICPInternet Computer$2.2550+0.18%
24h High$2.32
24h Low$2.22
Volume$3.4M
Updated14:33 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / ICP
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

ICP Internet Computer (ICP) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for ICP - Internet Computer. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 1,076 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $264,144. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $2.2550 (+0.18%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Internet Computer (ICP) aims to extend the internet's functionality by enabling smart contracts to run at web speed with unlimited capacity. Developed by DFINITY, ICP represents an ambitious attempt at decentralized cloud computing. After a turbulent launch, ICP has found its trading range with strong momentum patterns during protocol upgrade announcements and ecosystem growth periods.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View ICP Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.69
Sortino Ratio
4.98
Profit Factor
1.86
Calmar Ratio
33.99
Win Rate
44.9%
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Avg Drawdown
-11.26%
Alpha vs B&H
+10,860.4pp
Total Trades
1,076
Exposure
67.3%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
ICP

ICP Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-7.8%
12t
+13.9%
44t
+3.1%
32t
+76.1%
58t
+14.6%
42t
+21.4%
35t
+19.2%
46t
+47.3%
37t
+73.7%
57t
 +709.8%
2025 +44.6%
50t
 		+31.5%
50t
 		+15.9%
47t
 		+16.2%
40t
 		+6.0%
42t
 		+35.0%
44t
 		+13.9%
36t
 		+5.0%
44t
 		+5.4%
39t
 		+25.4%
39t
 		+79.4%
51t
 		-0.2%
34t
 		+936.7%
2026 +31.0%
51t
 		+33.0%
34t
 		+21.5%
47t
 		+15.7%
30t
+39.1%
35t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +240.4%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +2,541.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 1076 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.74% on 18 trades, WR 83%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.30% on 316 trades, WR 21%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for ICP over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 18 83.3% +2.74% 15.59 8.8
BULL 83 71.1% +2.41% 7.60 15.5
BEAR 461 50.5% +0.56% 1.98 11.8

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+21.4%
Win Rate
42.0%
21W / 29L
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
€10,000 Invested
€12,137
1.2x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 20:00 20 May 2026 15:00 $2.482 $2.578 +3.70% BULL 20 exit_fp
19 May 2026 11:00 19 May 2026 19:00 $2.522 $2.495 -1.31% BEAR 9 stop
18 May 2026 15:00 19 May 2026 09:00 $2.493 $2.541 +1.69% NEUTRAL 19 trail
18 May 2026 00:00 18 May 2026 14:00 $2.529 $2.501 -1.31% BEAR 15 stop
17 May 2026 03:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $2.580 $2.552 -1.31% NEUTRAL 21 stop
15 May 2026 14:00 17 May 2026 02:00 $2.618 $2.589 -1.31% BEAR 37 stop
15 May 2026 06:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $2.754 $2.724 -1.31% CRASH 8 stop
14 May 2026 12:00 15 May 2026 05:00 $2.914 $2.882 -1.31% BEAR 18 stop
14 May 2026 09:00 14 May 2026 11:00 $2.969 $2.937 -1.31% BEAR 3 stop
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 08:00 $3.060 $3.027 -1.31% NEUTRAL 17 stop
13 May 2026 03:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $3.199 $3.164 -1.31% BEAR 13 stop
12 May 2026 15:00 13 May 2026 02:00 $3.222 $3.199 -0.87% NEUTRAL 12 signal
12 May 2026 05:00 12 May 2026 07:00 $3.302 $3.301 -0.19% NEUTRAL 3 signal
12 May 2026 02:00 12 May 2026 04:00 $3.286 $3.302 +0.33% NEUTRAL 3 signal
11 May 2026 15:00 12 May 2026 00:00 $3.375 $3.338 -1.31% BULL 10 stop
11 May 2026 04:00 11 May 2026 10:00 $3.303 $3.505 +5.95% BULL 7 exit_fp
11 May 2026 01:00 11 May 2026 03:00 $3.356 $3.319 -1.31% NEUTRAL 3 stop
10 May 2026 16:00 11 May 2026 00:00 $3.446 $3.408 -1.31% BULL 9 stop
10 May 2026 10:00 10 May 2026 15:00 $3.420 $3.446 +0.57% NEUTRAL 6 signal
10 May 2026 07:00 10 May 2026 09:00 $3.439 $3.420 -0.74% NEUTRAL 3 signal
10 May 2026 04:00 10 May 2026 06:00 $3.494 $3.439 -1.76% NEUTRAL 3 signal
10 May 2026 01:00 10 May 2026 03:00 $3.523 $3.494 -1.01% NEUTRAL 3 signal
08 May 2026 10:00 08 May 2026 19:00 $3.111 $3.521 +12.96% BULL 10 exit_fp
07 May 2026 16:00 07 May 2026 23:00 $2.959 $3.090 +4.23% NEUTRAL 8 signal
07 May 2026 04:00 07 May 2026 08:00 $2.964 $3.039 +2.34% NEUTRAL 5 short_signal
06 May 2026 18:00 06 May 2026 22:00 $2.905 $3.094 +6.30% BULL 5 exit_fp
06 May 2026 14:00 06 May 2026 16:00 $2.748 $2.931 +6.46% NEUTRAL 3 signal
06 May 2026 12:00 06 May 2026 13:00 $2.809 $2.779 -1.33% NEUTRAL 2 stop
06 May 2026 00:00 06 May 2026 09:00 $2.705 $2.852 +5.23% NEUTRAL 10 signal
05 May 2026 22:00 05 May 2026 23:00 $2.686 $2.657 -1.33% BEAR 2 stop
05 May 2026 16:00 05 May 2026 18:00 $2.520 $2.559 +1.35% BEAR 3 signal
05 May 2026 14:00 05 May 2026 15:00 $2.589 $2.561 -1.33% BEAR 2 stop
04 May 2026 11:00 05 May 2026 13:00 $2.354 $2.575 +9.18% NEUTRAL 27 take_profit
04 May 2026 07:00 04 May 2026 09:00 $2.399 $2.350 -2.23% BEAR 3 signal
01 May 2026 11:00 04 May 2026 05:00 $2.365 $2.404 +1.46% NEUTRAL 67 signal
29 Apr 2026 19:00 30 Apr 2026 23:00 $2.358 $2.380 +0.66% BEAR 29 trail
27 Apr 2026 16:00 29 Apr 2026 17:00 $2.390 $2.334 -2.53% BEAR 50 signal
27 Apr 2026 05:00 27 Apr 2026 06:00 $2.448 $2.422 -1.33% BEAR 2 stop
25 Apr 2026 14:00 27 Apr 2026 04:00 $2.450 $2.448 -0.27% NEUTRAL 39 signal
23 Apr 2026 00:00 25 Apr 2026 06:00 $2.472 $2.463 -0.55% NEUTRAL 55 signal
19 Apr 2026 05:00 22 Apr 2026 23:00 $2.464 $2.507 +1.50% NEUTRAL 91 trail
18 Apr 2026 19:00 19 Apr 2026 04:00 $2.506 $2.479 -1.31% BEAR 10 stop
18 Apr 2026 15:00 18 Apr 2026 18:00 $2.525 $2.497 -1.31% CRASH 4 stop
17 Apr 2026 18:00 18 Apr 2026 14:00 $2.626 $2.597 -1.31% CRASH 21 stop
17 Apr 2026 01:00 17 Apr 2026 13:00 $2.652 $2.673 +0.63% NEUTRAL 13 exit_fp
16 Apr 2026 19:00 16 Apr 2026 22:00 $2.626 $2.647 +0.64% BEAR 4 signal
16 Apr 2026 06:00 16 Apr 2026 18:00 $2.558 $2.626 +2.46% BEAR 13 exit_fp
15 Apr 2026 12:00 16 Apr 2026 05:00 $2.449 $2.558 +4.28% BEAR 18 exit_fp
12 Apr 2026 23:00 15 Apr 2026 11:00 $2.413 $2.453 +1.45% BEAR 61 trail
12 Apr 2026 05:00 12 Apr 2026 22:00 $2.453 $2.426 -1.31% BEAR 18 stop

Start Trading Internet Computer Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time ICP signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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44.9% Win Rate Sharpe 3.69 1,076 Trades -11.3% Max Drawdown