SHIBSHIBShiba Inu$0.00000471-0.84%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$1.5M
Updated19:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for SHIB - Shiba Inu. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 63 trades would have compounded to a final value of $33,062 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 63 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
8.20
Alpha vs B&H
+279.92pp
Risk / Reward
43.44×
B&H Return
-49.31%
Max Drawdown
-5.31%
Avg Drawdown
-3.85%
Sharpe Trend
-4.96
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — SHIB — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for SHIB over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 63-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.03%
Avg Loss
-0.92%
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Bars Held
15.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 30 (48%) Forward-pred: 27 (43%) Trailing stop: 3 (5%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%) Regime exit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +230.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 82.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 63 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.88% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 30 83.3% +2.97% +137.59% 19h
BUBBLE 22 81.8% +1.39% +34.85% 9h
BULL 5 100.0% +3.88% +20.80% 23h
BEAR 6 66.7% +1.40% +8.27% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 63 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 13:00 05 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.22% BUBBLE 11h
06 Jan 2025 01:00 06 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.28% BUBBLE 15h
08 Jan 2025 05:00 08 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.05% BUBBLE 4h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.04% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 17:00 09 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.35% BUBBLE 12h
09 Jan 2025 08:00 09 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.35% BUBBLE 8h
09 Jan 2025 21:00 11 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.05% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Jan 2025 13:00 13 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.57% BULL 9h
14 Jan 2025 10:00 16 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.95% BULL 2d
17 Jan 2025 03:00 17 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.52% BULL 14h
18 Jan 2025 17:00 18 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.56% BUBBLE 3h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.85% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.61% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.85% BUBBLE 11h
21 Jan 2025 16:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.20% BUBBLE 2h
21 Jan 2025 19:00 21 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.40% BUBBLE 4h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 23 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.06% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.91% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 20:00 23 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.89% BUBBLE 4h
24 Jan 2025 07:00 24 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.48% BUBBLE 8h
27 Jan 2025 05:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.06% BUBBLE 21h
28 Jan 2025 03:00 28 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.27% BUBBLE 2h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 31 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.21% BUBBLE 2.3d
31 Jan 2025 06:00 31 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.53% BUBBLE 7h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.29% BULL 10h
03 Feb 2025 23:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.84% BULL 3h
04 Feb 2025 09:00 04 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.15% BUBBLE 3h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.84% SIDEWAYS 19h
07 Feb 2025 17:00 07 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 21:00 09 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.97% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 21:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.73% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Feb 2025 14:00 11 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Feb 2025 19:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.20% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
13 Feb 2025 13:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.34% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
14 Feb 2025 23:00 15 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.67% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Feb 2025 17:00 15 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 18:00 17 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Feb 2025 07:00 18 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.64% SIDEWAYS 4h
18 Feb 2025 15:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.30% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.49% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
28 Feb 2025 06:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.09% SIDEWAYS 19h
01 Mar 2025 02:00 01 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.37% BEAR 3h
01 Mar 2025 06:00 01 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 -3.12% BEAR 7h
02 Mar 2025 11:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 4h
02 Mar 2025 16:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.77% BEAR 8h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 05 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.54% BEAR 1.6d
06 Mar 2025 01:00 06 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Mar 2025 17:00 07 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 17h
07 Mar 2025 11:00 07 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.77% SIDEWAYS 4h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.57% SIDEWAYS 14h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 12 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.63% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
16 Mar 2025 02:00 16 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 15h
18 Mar 2025 13:00 21 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.97% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
21 Mar 2025 11:00 23 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
23 Mar 2025 15:00 25 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.51% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
25 Mar 2025 23:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.64% SIDEWAYS 8h
27 Mar 2025 00:00 27 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Mar 2025 21:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Mar 2025 12:00 29 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 17:00 30 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

82.5% Win Rate +230.6% Return -5.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees