SHIBSHIBShiba Inu$0.00000473-1.05%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$1.5M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / SHIB
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

SHIB Shiba Inu (SHIB) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for SHIB - Shiba Inu. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 749 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $35,967. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00000473 (-1.05%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View SHIB Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
1.52
Sortino Ratio
1.71
Profit Factor
1.39
Calmar Ratio
5.17
Win Rate
41.1%
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Avg Drawdown
-16.45%
Alpha vs B&H
+8,085.1pp
Total Trades
749
Exposure
53.1%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-1.0%
5t
+2.6%
26t
-8.2%
39t
+12.4%
30t
+3.2%
36t
+10.9%
18t
-2.3%
20t
+57.5%
32t
+55.8%
44t
 +187.8%
2025 -13.0%
33t
 		+21.9%
34t
 		-5.1%
36t
 		+20.3%
34t
 		+8.2%
24t
 		-3.0%
29t
 		+16.5%
28t
 		+5.1%
27t
 		+1.0%
23t
 		+18.6%
34t
 		+1.7%
28t
 		-10.5%
34t
 		+69.7%
2026 +16.3%
32t
 		+15.6%
35t
 		+16.5%
31t
 		+10.6%
21t
-5.4%
16t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +63.7%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +259.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -16.4% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 749 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +1.77% on 27 trades, WR 74%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.24% on 304 trades, WR 28%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for SHIB over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 27 74.1% +1.77% 14.87 10.4
BULL 68 60.3% +1.50% 3.90 14.9
BEAR 247 44.9% +0.33% 1.43 15.6

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+3.1%
Win Rate
36.0%
18W / 32L
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
€10,000 Invested
€10,309
1.0x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
17 May 2026 04:00 18 May 2026 09:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 30 stop
16 May 2026 07:00 17 May 2026 03:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 21 stop
15 May 2026 14:00 16 May 2026 06:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 17 stop
15 May 2026 06:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 8 stop
14 May 2026 07:00 15 May 2026 05:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 23 stop
12 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 06:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 39 stop
12 May 2026 13:00 12 May 2026 15:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
11 May 2026 19:00 12 May 2026 12:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 18 stop
10 May 2026 00:00 11 May 2026 17:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +4.45% BULL 42 signal
07 May 2026 04:00 09 May 2026 23:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +0.70% BULL 68 trail
06 May 2026 18:00 07 May 2026 03:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 10 stop
04 May 2026 11:00 06 May 2026 01:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +3.30% NEUTRAL 39 signal
04 May 2026 02:00 04 May 2026 10:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
03 May 2026 05:00 03 May 2026 23:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 19 stop
01 May 2026 10:00 03 May 2026 01:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 40 stop
29 Apr 2026 16:00 01 May 2026 05:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +3.83% NEUTRAL 38 signal
29 Apr 2026 14:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
29 Apr 2026 05:00 29 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +3.28% NEUTRAL 6 signal
27 Apr 2026 06:00 28 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 30 stop
25 Apr 2026 22:00 27 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +2.02% NEUTRAL 30 signal
23 Apr 2026 00:00 25 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +0.55% BEAR 70 trail
19 Apr 2026 04:00 22 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +1.74% BEAR 73 signal
18 Apr 2026 14:00 19 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 14 stop
18 Apr 2026 01:00 18 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 13 stop
17 Apr 2026 03:00 17 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +2.82% BEAR 10 exit_fp
12 Apr 2026 02:00 16 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +5.59% BEAR 111 signal
11 Apr 2026 18:00 12 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 8 stop
09 Apr 2026 12:00 11 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +0.57% BEAR 49 trail
09 Apr 2026 00:00 09 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 12 stop
08 Apr 2026 12:00 08 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
08 Apr 2026 00:00 08 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -0.25% BEAR 6 signal
07 Apr 2026 00:00 07 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +4.71% NEUTRAL 23 exit_fp
06 Apr 2026 22:00 06 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
06 Apr 2026 09:00 06 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 12 stop
04 Apr 2026 10:00 06 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +2.31% BEAR 41 signal
03 Apr 2026 05:00 04 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 29 stop
31 Mar 2026 10:00 03 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +1.84% NEUTRAL 67 trail
27 Mar 2026 11:00 31 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +2.15% BEAR 90 trail
27 Mar 2026 06:00 27 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
26 Mar 2026 08:00 27 Mar 2026 05:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 22 stop
25 Mar 2026 04:00 26 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 28 stop
24 Mar 2026 02:00 24 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +1.23% NEUTRAL 19 signal
22 Mar 2026 21:00 23 Mar 2026 11:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +5.73% BEAR 15 exit_fp
22 Mar 2026 12:00 22 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
22 Mar 2026 00:00 22 Mar 2026 11:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
20 Mar 2026 07:00 21 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 41 stop
19 Mar 2026 08:00 20 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 +6.54% BEAR 21 exit_fp
18 Mar 2026 22:00 19 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% BEAR 10 stop
17 Mar 2026 13:00 18 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 32 stop
16 Mar 2026 11:00 17 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.0000000 $0.0000000 -1.46% CRASH 26 stop

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time SHIB signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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41.1% Win Rate Sharpe 1.52 749 Trades -16.4% Max Drawdown