SHIBSHIBShiba Inu$0.00000473-1.05%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$1.5M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for SHIB - Shiba Inu. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 85 trades would have compounded to a final value of $120,162 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 85 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.11
Alpha vs B&H
+1,082.72pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+18.90%
Max Drawdown
-8.58%
Avg Drawdown
-6.00%
Sharpe Trend
-5.07
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — SHIB — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for SHIB over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 85-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.97%
Avg Loss
-1.60%
Best Trade
+21.82%
Worst Trade
-8.58%
Avg Bars Held
12.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 46 (54%) Forward-pred: 33 (39%) Stop-loss: 3 (4%) Trailing stop: 2 (2%) Short signal: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,101.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 77.7%.
  • Robust sample: 85 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.33% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 66 78.8% +3.65% +885.72% 13h
SIDEWAYS 14 64.3% +2.14% +33.13% 11h
BULL 5 100.0% +5.33% +29.35% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 85 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Oct 2024 02:00 06 Oct 2024 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.82% SIDEWAYS 13h
06 Oct 2024 16:00 06 Oct 2024 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Oct 2024 21:00 07 Oct 2024 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
08 Oct 2024 00:00 08 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Oct 2024 06:00 08 Oct 2024 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Oct 2024 13:00 09 Oct 2024 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.46% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Oct 2024 21:00 09 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.35% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Oct 2024 01:00 10 Oct 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Oct 2024 17:00 11 Oct 2024 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.58% SIDEWAYS 1d
11 Oct 2024 19:00 12 Oct 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Oct 2024 13:00 13 Oct 2024 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.96% SIDEWAYS 6h
13 Oct 2024 20:00 14 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.34% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
15 Oct 2024 12:00 16 Oct 2024 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.77% SIDEWAYS 22h
16 Oct 2024 12:00 16 Oct 2024 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 12:00 18 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.26% SIDEWAYS 14h
18 Oct 2024 03:00 19 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.54% BUBBLE 24h
20 Oct 2024 05:00 20 Oct 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
20 Oct 2024 09:00 21 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.15% BUBBLE 17h
21 Oct 2024 17:00 21 Oct 2024 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.84% BUBBLE 3h
22 Oct 2024 13:00 22 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.14% BUBBLE 3h
23 Oct 2024 13:00 23 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.86% BUBBLE 3h
23 Oct 2024 17:00 24 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.78% BUBBLE 1.3d
26 Oct 2024 00:00 28 Oct 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.54% BULL 2.2d
28 Oct 2024 05:00 29 Oct 2024 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.31% BUBBLE 1.4d
29 Oct 2024 21:00 29 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.59% BUBBLE 3h
31 Oct 2024 00:00 31 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.45% BUBBLE 3h
01 Nov 2024 07:00 01 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.33% BUBBLE 7h
01 Nov 2024 16:00 02 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.27% BUBBLE 10h
03 Nov 2024 13:00 05 Nov 2024 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.91% BUBBLE 2.2d
05 Nov 2024 20:00 06 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.67% BUBBLE 8h
06 Nov 2024 16:00 07 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.41% BULL 10h
07 Nov 2024 14:00 08 Nov 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.08% BULL 18h
08 Nov 2024 20:00 10 Nov 2024 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +21.82% BULL 1.4d
10 Nov 2024 06:00 10 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +15.64% BUBBLE 8h
10 Nov 2024 16:00 10 Nov 2024 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.99% BUBBLE 3h
10 Nov 2024 21:00 11 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +13.96% BUBBLE 5h
11 Nov 2024 05:00 11 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.76% BUBBLE 11h
12 Nov 2024 14:00 12 Nov 2024 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.60% BUBBLE 6h
13 Nov 2024 05:00 13 Nov 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.54% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 13:00 13 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +11.90% BUBBLE 2h
13 Nov 2024 20:00 14 Nov 2024 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.94% BUBBLE 7h
15 Nov 2024 01:00 15 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.12% BUBBLE 21h
15 Nov 2024 23:00 16 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.65% BUBBLE 3h
17 Nov 2024 02:00 17 Nov 2024 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.27% BUBBLE 7h
17 Nov 2024 10:00 18 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.03% BUBBLE 18h
18 Nov 2024 13:00 18 Nov 2024 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.84% BUBBLE 4h
18 Nov 2024 19:00 19 Nov 2024 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.34% BUBBLE 10h
19 Nov 2024 10:00 19 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.23% BUBBLE 3h
20 Nov 2024 18:00 20 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.08% BUBBLE 4h
21 Nov 2024 01:00 22 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.72% BUBBLE 1.5d
22 Nov 2024 15:00 23 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.57% BUBBLE 13h
23 Nov 2024 20:00 24 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.61% BUBBLE 6h
24 Nov 2024 12:00 25 Nov 2024 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.15% BUBBLE 21h
26 Nov 2024 09:00 28 Nov 2024 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.46% BUBBLE 1.7d
28 Nov 2024 15:00 30 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.92% BUBBLE 2d
01 Dec 2024 02:00 01 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.89% BUBBLE 4h
01 Dec 2024 07:00 01 Dec 2024 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.74% BUBBLE 8h
02 Dec 2024 00:00 02 Dec 2024 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 -4.08% BUBBLE 3h
02 Dec 2024 09:00 03 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.37% BUBBLE 17h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 04 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.80% BUBBLE 11h
04 Dec 2024 02:00 04 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.27% BUBBLE 22h
05 Dec 2024 22:00 06 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.89% BUBBLE 4h
06 Dec 2024 06:00 06 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.35% BUBBLE 4h
06 Dec 2024 11:00 07 Dec 2024 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.99% BUBBLE 1.5d
08 Dec 2024 09:00 08 Dec 2024 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.91% BUBBLE 3h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 09 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.64% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 03:00 10 Dec 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.54% BUBBLE 5h
10 Dec 2024 13:00 10 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.79% BUBBLE 10h
11 Dec 2024 00:00 11 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.84% BUBBLE 23h
12 Dec 2024 20:00 12 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.13% BUBBLE 3h
13 Dec 2024 02:00 13 Dec 2024 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.98% BUBBLE 19h
14 Dec 2024 14:00 14 Dec 2024 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.26% BUBBLE 3h
15 Dec 2024 02:00 15 Dec 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.76% BUBBLE 6h
15 Dec 2024 09:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.46% BUBBLE 16h
16 Dec 2024 14:00 16 Dec 2024 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.48% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 01:00 20 Dec 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.55% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 07:00 20 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 -8.58% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 11:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +19.94% BUBBLE 19h
22 Dec 2024 05:00 22 Dec 2024 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.68% BUBBLE 6h
22 Dec 2024 12:00 22 Dec 2024 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.77% BUBBLE 6h
22 Dec 2024 20:00 24 Dec 2024 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.48% BUBBLE 1.6d
29 Dec 2024 02:00 29 Dec 2024 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 01:00 30 Dec 2024 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.19% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 05:00 30 Dec 2024 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.56% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 15:00 30 Dec 2024 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.23% BUBBLE 6h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

77.7% Win Rate +1,101.6% Return -8.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees