SHIBSHIBShiba Inu$0.00000473-1.05%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$1.5M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for SHIB - Shiba Inu. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 56 trades would have compounded to a final value of $32,816 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 56 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.45
Alpha vs B&H
+271.47pp
Risk / Reward
46.43×
B&H Return
-43.30%
Max Drawdown
-4.91%
Avg Drawdown
-3.71%
Sharpe Trend
+0.91
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — SHIB — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for SHIB over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 56-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.91%
Avg Loss
-1.30%
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Bars Held
17.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 21 (38%) Signal flip: 17 (30%) Short signal: 9 (16%) Trailing stop: 5 (9%) Take-profit: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 2 (4%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +228.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 56 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.68% on 32 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 32 90.6% +2.68% +130.54% 21h
BEAR 18 77.8% +1.86% +38.29% 13h
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +1.82% +5.53% 9h
BULL 3 66.7% +1.52% +4.57% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 56 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 03:00 05 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.65% BUBBLE 6h
05 Oct 2025 21:00 06 Oct 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.60% BUBBLE 19h
06 Oct 2025 17:00 06 Oct 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.21% BUBBLE 2h
08 Oct 2025 04:00 09 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.49% BUBBLE 23h
09 Oct 2025 17:00 09 Oct 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.02% BULL 7h
10 Oct 2025 21:00 11 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.02% BULL 12h
11 Oct 2025 21:00 13 Oct 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.52% BULL 1.3d
13 Oct 2025 06:00 13 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.98% SIDEWAYS 12h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.45% SIDEWAYS 1d
19 Oct 2025 10:00 21 Oct 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 10h
22 Oct 2025 18:00 25 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
25 Oct 2025 11:00 27 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.71% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
29 Oct 2025 01:00 29 Oct 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 11h
30 Oct 2025 17:00 01 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.94% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
02 Nov 2025 19:00 02 Nov 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 4h
03 Nov 2025 16:00 03 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 2h
04 Nov 2025 08:00 04 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.05% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 14:00 04 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 19:00 07 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.96% SIDEWAYS 2.8d
07 Nov 2025 14:00 07 Nov 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.28% SIDEWAYS 7h
08 Nov 2025 21:00 08 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Nov 2025 01:00 10 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 2d
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 6h
15 Nov 2025 01:00 15 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.03% BEAR 14h
16 Nov 2025 17:00 17 Nov 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.21% BEAR 13h
17 Nov 2025 20:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.96% BEAR 21h
18 Nov 2025 18:00 18 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.74% BEAR 6h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 19 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 -3.23% BEAR 3h
19 Nov 2025 20:00 20 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.98% BEAR 17h
21 Nov 2025 12:00 22 Nov 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.14% BEAR 15h
22 Nov 2025 12:00 23 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.23% BEAR 1.3d
24 Nov 2025 01:00 25 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.27% BEAR 1.1d
25 Nov 2025 05:00 25 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.40% BEAR 10h
25 Nov 2025 16:00 25 Nov 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.24% BEAR 5h
25 Nov 2025 22:00 25 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.63% BEAR 2h
26 Nov 2025 13:00 26 Nov 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.79% BEAR 7h
26 Nov 2025 21:00 28 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.28% BEAR 1.3d
28 Nov 2025 07:00 28 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.21% BEAR 2h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 03 Dec 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.90% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
03 Dec 2025 04:00 03 Dec 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 7h
05 Dec 2025 17:00 06 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 20h
06 Dec 2025 14:00 07 Dec 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.29% SIDEWAYS 14h
07 Dec 2025 05:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.30% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Dec 2025 23:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.63% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
10 Dec 2025 15:00 10 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 13:00 12 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.76% SIDEWAYS 13h
12 Dec 2025 17:00 13 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.89% SIDEWAYS 20h
16 Dec 2025 10:00 16 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Dec 2025 15:00 18 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.09% BEAR 3h
19 Dec 2025 00:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.80% BEAR 20h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 21 Dec 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.14% BEAR 10h
24 Dec 2025 03:00 25 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.72% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Dec 2025 00:00 27 Dec 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.55% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Dec 2025 02:00 28 Dec 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.13% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Dec 2025 19:00 29 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.05% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

85.7% Win Rate +228.2% Return -4.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees