ICPICPInternet Computer$2.2630+0.31%
24h High$2.32
24h Low$2.22
Volume$3.7M
Updated17:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ICP / ICP — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ICP Internet Computer Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ICP - Internet Computer. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 22 trades would have compounded to a final value of $15,337 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 22 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Internet Computer (ICP) aims to extend the internet's functionality by enabling smart contracts to run at web speed with unlimited capacity. Developed by DFINITY, ICP represents an ambitious attempt at decentralized cloud computing. After a turbulent launch, ICP has found its trading range with strong momentum patterns during protocol upgrade announcements and ecosystem growth periods.

ICP — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Internet Computer (ICP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.72
Alpha vs B&H
+78.30pp
Risk / Reward
2.93×
B&H Return
-24.93%
Max Drawdown
-18.21%
Avg Drawdown
-10.42%
Sharpe Trend
+11.73
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+37.69%
▲ +15.68
Win Rate
79.0%
▲ +7.41
Sharpe
8.95
▲ +0.77
Alpha vs B&H
+62.61pp
▲ +15.69
Max DD
-18.21%
Avg DD
-10.16%
▼ -0.26
Risk / Reward
2.07×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+34.40%
▲ +18.97
Win Rate
81.2%
▲ +5.16
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.72
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +78.30
Max DD
-18.38%
▲ +0.17
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -10.42
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+53.37%
Win Rate
86.4%
Sharpe
9.72
Alpha vs B&H
+78.30pp
Max DD
-18.21%
Avg DD
-10.42%
Risk / Reward
2.93×
Trades
22

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — ICP — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
-9.1
4
+3.2
5
6
7
+4.3
8
9
+3.2
10
+3.8
11
+4.9
12
+3.5
13
+0.0
14
+2.3
15
16
17
+2.0
18
+1.6
19
20
+6.6
21
+1.6
22
+4.2
23
-0.1
24
25
26
+5.0
27
+7.5
28
-0.4

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ICP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 22-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.42%
Avg Loss
-6.34%
Best Trade
+11.19%
Worst Trade
-18.21%
Avg Bars Held
14.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 13 (59%) Forward-pred: 8 (36%) Stop-loss: 1 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +53.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 86.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Large drawdown: -18.2% — expect volatility on capital.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.62% on 19 trades, WR 89%.
  • Weakest regime: BULL — avg -3.51% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 19 89.5% +2.62% +62.79% 16h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +3.17% +3.17% 5h
BULL 2 50.0% -3.51% -9.06% 7h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 22 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 21:00 03 Feb 2025 02:00 $7.55 $6.20 -18.21% BULL 6h
03 Feb 2025 15:00 03 Feb 2025 22:00 $6.87 $7.67 +11.19% BULL 8h
04 Feb 2025 08:00 04 Feb 2025 12:00 $7.01 $7.25 +3.17% BUBBLE 5h
06 Feb 2025 16:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $6.80 $7.11 +4.34% SIDEWAYS 22h
08 Feb 2025 01:00 09 Feb 2025 01:00 $6.78 $7.01 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Feb 2025 20:00 10 Feb 2025 13:00 $6.91 $7.18 +3.76% SIDEWAYS 18h
10 Feb 2025 15:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $7.09 $7.39 +4.03% SIDEWAYS 15h
11 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 22:00 $7.01 $7.08 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $7.13 $7.40 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Feb 2025 00:00 13 Feb 2025 03:00 $7.35 $7.36 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 4h
13 Feb 2025 13:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $7.10 $7.27 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
17 Feb 2025 01:00 17 Feb 2025 13:00 $7.04 $7.16 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 13h
17 Feb 2025 18:00 17 Feb 2025 20:00 $6.98 $7.06 +0.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 09:00 18 Feb 2025 13:00 $6.72 $6.85 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 21:00 $6.68 $7.14 +6.59% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
21 Feb 2025 03:00 21 Feb 2025 07:00 $7.06 $7.19 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 5h
21 Feb 2025 20:00 22 Feb 2025 17:00 $6.94 $7.24 +4.16% SIDEWAYS 22h
22 Feb 2025 19:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $7.21 $7.20 -0.38% SIDEWAYS 7h
23 Feb 2025 16:00 23 Feb 2025 18:00 $7.00 $7.03 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 05:00 26 Feb 2025 10:00 $6.26 $6.58 +4.95% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Feb 2025 19:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $6.26 $6.74 +7.55% SIDEWAYS 15h
27 Feb 2025 14:00 28 Feb 2025 00:00 $6.64 $6.63 -0.42% SIDEWAYS 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ICP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Internet Computer Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ICP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

86.4% Win Rate +53.4% Return -18.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees