APTAPTAptos$0.640000+0.00%
24h High$0.64
24h Low$0.62
Volume$3.1M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / APT
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

APT Aptos (APT) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for APT - Aptos. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 978 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $227,916. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 1 Walk-Forward Cycle Apr 2024 – May 2026 $0.640000 (+0.00%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Aptos (APT) is a Layer 1 blockchain built by former members of Meta's Diem project. Using the Move programming language, Aptos focuses on safety, scalability, and user experience. As a newer asset with high institutional backing, APT shows strong trending behavior during market sentiment shifts. Our model tracks its momentum patterns and cross-correlation with other Layer 1 tokens for signal generation.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.23
Sortino Ratio
3.87
Profit Factor
1.83
Calmar Ratio
24.29
Win Rate
46.6%
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Avg Drawdown
-14.40%
Alpha vs B&H
+11,231.8pp
Total Trades
978
Exposure
54.8%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
APT

APT Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
+2.3%
10t
+35.3%
39t
+20.6%
41t
+31.4%
47t
+30.8%
52t
+12.7%
33t
+26.0%
27t
+28.4%
31t
+56.7%
28t
+719.8%
2025 +4.4%
45t
+43.6%
51t
+13.5%
43t
+34.5%
36t
-5.1%
46t
+35.1%
44t
+7.4%
36t
-0.1%
24t
+4.1%
27t
+22.1%
39t
+4.9%
33t
+28.7%
52t
+439.9%
2026 +24.8%
42t
+60.4%
42t
+24.7%
51t
+14.7%
38t
+9.7%
21t
+214.1%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +2,179.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Robust sample: 978 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.14% on 19 trades, WR 89%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for APT over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 19 89.5% +3.14% 122.86 12.8
BULL 32 46.9% +1.30% 2.92 11.5
BEAR 242 50.8% +0.95% 2.49 13.7

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
18 May 2026 10:00 18 May 2026 23:00 $0.91900 $0.94800 +2.90% NEUTRAL 14 signal
18 May 2026 01:00 18 May 2026 05:00 $0.93000 $0.92700 -0.57% CRASH 5 signal
17 May 2026 01:00 17 May 2026 09:00 $0.94100 $0.96400 +2.19% NEUTRAL 9 signal
16 May 2026 09:00 16 May 2026 12:00 $0.95500 $0.95100 -0.67% CRASH 4 signal
15 May 2026 14:00 15 May 2026 16:00 $0.98500 $0.99600 +0.86% CRASH 3 signal
14 May 2026 04:00 14 May 2026 10:00 $1.028 $1.035 +0.43% NEUTRAL 7 signal
13 May 2026 14:00 14 May 2026 03:00 $1.064 $1.053 -1.37% CRASH 14 stop
13 May 2026 12:00 13 May 2026 13:00 $1.097 $1.086 -1.37% BEAR 2 stop
12 May 2026 13:00 13 May 2026 01:00 $1.085 $1.097 +0.85% NEUTRAL 13 signal
12 May 2026 09:00 12 May 2026 12:00 $1.102 $1.091 -1.37% BEAR 4 stop
12 May 2026 03:00 12 May 2026 05:00 $1.109 $1.121 +0.83% NEUTRAL 3 signal
11 May 2026 05:00 11 May 2026 16:00 $1.117 $1.128 +0.73% NEUTRAL 12 signal
10 May 2026 01:00 10 May 2026 03:00 $1.088 $1.100 +0.91% NEUTRAL 3 signal
06 May 2026 15:00 07 May 2026 01:00 $1.016 $1.005 -1.33% BEAR 11 stop
05 May 2026 16:00 06 May 2026 01:00 $0.97100 $1.007 +3.51% BEAR 10 exit_fp
04 May 2026 14:00 04 May 2026 16:00 $0.97300 $0.97700 +0.22% CRASH 3 signal
04 May 2026 07:00 04 May 2026 13:00 $0.99900 $0.98830 -1.33% CRASH 7 stop
03 May 2026 07:00 04 May 2026 02:00 $0.98300 $1.016 +3.10% NEUTRAL 20 signal
02 May 2026 05:00 02 May 2026 19:00 $0.99100 $1.004 +1.06% NEUTRAL 15 signal
01 May 2026 13:00 01 May 2026 21:00 $1.011 $1.001 -1.37% CRASH 9 stop
30 Apr 2026 12:00 01 May 2026 01:00 $1.001 $1.017 +1.34% BEAR 14 exit_fp
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.97200 $1.001 +2.73% BEAR 9 signal
29 Apr 2026 09:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.98800 $0.97780 -1.37% CRASH 7 stop
28 Apr 2026 07:00 29 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.95900 $0.97600 +1.58% NEUTRAL 20 signal
24 Apr 2026 20:00 25 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.97400 $0.99000 +1.45% BEAR 5 exit_fp
24 Apr 2026 12:00 24 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.96600 $0.97400 +0.64% BEAR 8 exit_fp
23 Apr 2026 19:00 24 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.93100 $0.96600 +3.56% BEAR 17 exit_fp
22 Apr 2026 18:00 23 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.96500 $0.95470 -1.33% CRASH 7 stop
22 Apr 2026 14:00 22 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.97300 $0.97200 -0.29% CRASH 3 signal
20 Apr 2026 15:00 22 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.93100 $0.95300 +2.17% NEUTRAL 38 signal
19 Apr 2026 23:00 20 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.91200 $0.92000 +0.69% CRASH 5 signal
19 Apr 2026 18:00 19 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.92200 $0.91210 -1.33% CRASH 5 stop
19 Apr 2026 00:00 19 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.93300 $0.92300 -1.33% BEAR 18 stop
18 Apr 2026 18:00 18 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.94300 $0.94100 -0.40% CRASH 4 signal
18 Apr 2026 13:00 18 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.94600 $0.94300 -0.51% CRASH 5 signal
18 Apr 2026 05:00 18 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.98300 $0.97250 -1.33% CRASH 4 stop
17 Apr 2026 12:00 17 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.97900 $0.99800 +1.75% BEAR 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 12:00 14 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.85900 $0.85800 -0.31% CRASH 11 signal
13 Apr 2026 23:00 14 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.87100 $0.87200 -0.08% CRASH 3 signal
13 Apr 2026 17:00 13 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.85400 $0.87100 +1.80% BEAR 6 exit_fp
12 Apr 2026 19:00 13 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.82400 $0.85400 +3.44% BEAR 22 exit_fp
12 Apr 2026 00:00 12 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.86000 $0.85080 -1.33% CRASH 18 stop
11 Apr 2026 14:00 11 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.85400 $0.87100 +1.80% CRASH 7 signal
11 Apr 2026 11:00 11 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.85200 $0.85400 +0.04% CRASH 3 signal
11 Apr 2026 02:00 11 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.86200 $0.85280 -1.33% BEAR 9 stop
10 Apr 2026 15:00 11 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.86100 $0.86000 -0.31% CRASH 10 signal
09 Apr 2026 21:00 10 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.85100 $0.84190 -1.33% BEAR 13 stop
09 Apr 2026 02:00 09 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.81800 $0.85100 +3.84% CRASH 19 exit_fp
08 Apr 2026 12:00 09 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.86200 $0.85280 -1.33% CRASH 14 stop
07 Apr 2026 22:00 08 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.85200 $0.86600 +1.45% CRASH 3 signal

Start Trading Aptos Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time APT signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

46.6% Win Rate Sharpe 3.23 978 Trades -14.4% Max Drawdown