WLDWLDWorldcoin$0.617100-0.13%
24h High$0.63
24h Low$0.59
Volume$52.2M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / WLD
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

WLD Worldcoin (WLD) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for WLD - Worldcoin. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 810 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $74,224. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.617100 (-0.13%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Worldcoin (WLD) is a protocol that pairs biometric iris scanning with a cryptocurrency airdrop to verify unique humans on-chain, founded by Sam Altman. Listed since July 2023 with roughly two cycles of trading data. Price responds to AI-narrative cycles, regulatory developments around biometric data, and Orb-rollout milestones.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View WLD Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.74
Sortino Ratio
2.90
Profit Factor
1.73
Calmar Ratio
9.93
Win Rate
39.9%
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Avg Drawdown
-16.34%
Alpha vs B&H
+10,196.4pp
Total Trades
810
Exposure
42.6%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
WLD

WLD Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-16.2%
14t
+54.0%
31t
-0.4%
42t
+36.9%
48t
+16.4%
25t
+23.3%
26t
+22.2%
39t
+82.5%
47t
+34.5%
50t
 +657.1%
2025 +19.4%
30t
 		+42.4%
25t
 		+4.7%
23t
 		+40.1%
30t
 		+8.2%
44t
 		+41.6%
40t
 		+46.7%
39t
 		+27.7%
33t
 		+17.5%
31t
 		+10.9%
25t
 		+3.3%
23t
 		+0.2%
17t
 		+867.2%
2026 -15.6%
29t
 		+7.4%
25t
-4.3%
27t
-0.3%
24t
+13.8%
23t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 -1.4%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +642.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↓ Low win rate: 39.9% — profits depend on a few large winners.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -16.3% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 810 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.18% on 77 trades, WR 66%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for WLD over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 11 72.7% +2.88% 8.94 21.1
BULL 77 66.2% +3.18% 7.98 14.1
BEAR 276 39.5% +0.44% 1.55 9.6

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+11.3%
Win Rate
42.0%
21W / 29L
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
€10,000 Invested
€11,129
1.1x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
20 May 2026 12:00 20 May 2026 16:00 $0.23960 $0.25250 +4.95% BEAR 5 exit_fp
19 May 2026 17:00 19 May 2026 22:00 $0.24020 $0.23790 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
19 May 2026 12:00 19 May 2026 14:00 $0.24300 $0.24070 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
18 May 2026 14:00 18 May 2026 16:00 $0.23390 $0.23420 -0.28% CRASH 3 signal
16 May 2026 10:00 18 May 2026 12:00 $0.23560 $0.23630 -0.11% CRASH 51 signal
15 May 2026 14:00 16 May 2026 09:00 $0.24230 $0.24000 -1.46% BEAR 20 stop
15 May 2026 04:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.26020 $0.25770 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
15 May 2026 00:00 15 May 2026 03:00 $0.26420 $0.26170 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
14 May 2026 22:00 14 May 2026 23:00 $0.26660 $0.26410 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
14 May 2026 12:00 14 May 2026 18:00 $0.25530 $0.27260 +6.34% BEAR 7 exit_fp
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 11:00 $0.25760 $0.25520 -1.46% BEAR 20 stop
13 May 2026 13:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.27040 $0.26780 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
13 May 2026 09:00 13 May 2026 12:00 $0.28280 $0.28010 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
13 May 2026 01:00 13 May 2026 08:00 $0.27120 $0.28280 +3.85% BEAR 8 exit_fp
12 May 2026 15:00 12 May 2026 18:00 $0.26560 $0.26810 +0.53% CRASH 4 signal
11 May 2026 04:00 12 May 2026 10:00 $0.27460 $0.27200 -1.46% CRASH 31 stop
09 May 2026 15:00 09 May 2026 17:00 $0.27050 $0.27220 +0.22% BEAR 3 signal
07 May 2026 21:00 08 May 2026 15:00 $0.24960 $0.26800 +6.93% BEAR 19 exit_fp
07 May 2026 15:00 07 May 2026 19:00 $0.25270 $0.25410 +0.14% CRASH 5 signal
07 May 2026 03:00 07 May 2026 06:00 $0.25080 $0.26030 +3.36% BEAR 4 signal
04 May 2026 13:00 05 May 2026 04:00 $0.23580 $0.24040 +1.53% BEAR 16 signal
01 May 2026 22:00 02 May 2026 20:00 $0.23570 $0.24230 +2.38% CRASH 23 signal
30 Apr 2026 21:00 01 May 2026 17:00 $0.24460 $0.24230 -1.46% CRASH 21 stop
30 Apr 2026 10:00 30 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.24170 $0.24430 +0.66% CRASH 7 signal
29 Apr 2026 17:00 29 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.24600 $0.24750 +0.20% CRASH 6 signal
28 Apr 2026 02:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.25350 $0.25110 -1.46% CRASH 38 stop
27 Apr 2026 17:00 27 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.25000 $0.25060 -0.17% CRASH 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 07:00 27 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.25430 $0.25320 -0.84% CRASH 3 signal
25 Apr 2026 23:00 27 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.25790 $0.26210 +1.21% BEAR 26 exit_fp
24 Apr 2026 04:00 25 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.26190 $0.25940 -1.46% CRASH 40 stop
23 Apr 2026 18:00 24 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.25780 $0.26600 +2.76% BEAR 7 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 16:00 23 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.26560 $0.26450 -0.82% CRASH 86 signal
18 Apr 2026 17:00 19 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.26880 $0.26630 -1.46% BEAR 23 stop
18 Apr 2026 08:00 18 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.28380 $0.28110 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
17 Apr 2026 22:00 18 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.28310 $0.28710 +1.00% CRASH 9 signal
17 Apr 2026 06:00 17 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.31670 $0.31370 -1.46% BEAR 5 stop
15 Apr 2026 13:00 16 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.29810 $0.31960 +6.77% BEAR 30 signal
15 Apr 2026 04:00 15 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.29880 $0.29760 -0.81% CRASH 7 signal
14 Apr 2026 18:00 15 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.30470 $0.29910 -2.24% CRASH 8 signal
13 Apr 2026 05:00 13 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.29190 $0.29110 -0.68% CRASH 4 signal
07 Apr 2026 00:00 07 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.24420 $0.24200 -1.31% CRASH 4 signal
06 Apr 2026 13:00 06 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.25370 $0.25380 -0.37% CRASH 3 signal
06 Apr 2026 02:00 06 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.25100 $0.25310 +0.42% CRASH 10 signal
05 Apr 2026 20:00 05 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.24310 $0.24580 +0.70% CRASH 3 signal
05 Apr 2026 12:00 05 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.24850 $0.24770 -0.73% CRASH 6 signal
01 Apr 2026 05:00 01 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.27890 $0.28300 +1.06% BEAR 10 signal
31 Mar 2026 23:00 01 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.27460 $0.27710 +0.60% CRASH 3 signal
28 Mar 2026 00:00 29 Mar 2026 06:00 $0.25000 $0.27580 +9.87% BEAR 31 exit_fp
27 Mar 2026 20:00 27 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.26300 $0.26050 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
27 Mar 2026 11:00 27 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.27480 $0.27220 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop

Start Trading Worldcoin Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time WLD signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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39.9% Win Rate Sharpe 2.74 810 Trades -16.3% Max Drawdown