XAIXAIXai$0.00801000+2.82%
24h High$0.01
24h Low$0.01
Volume$424,121
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / XAI
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

XAI Xai (XAI) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for XAI - Xai. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 465 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $15,888. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00801000 (+2.82%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View XAI Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
1.14
Sortino Ratio
0.75
Profit Factor
1.43
Calmar Ratio
2.66
Win Rate
40.2%
Max Drawdown
-9.4%
Avg Drawdown
-9.38%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,922.9pp
Total Trades
465
Exposure
15.5%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
XAI

XAI Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-2.6%
6t
+14.0%
11t
-7.6%
38t
+0.1%
18t
+24.6%
16t
-4.1%
4t
+8.5%
8t
+7.8%
44t
+24.0%
56t
 +78.1%
2025 -3.5%
15t
 		+17.0%
11t
 		+4.0%
18t
 		+6.1%
23t
 		+28.5%
20t
 		+3.6%
7t
 		+24.7%
25t
-8.2%
7t
-3.1%
29t
+10.5%
15t
+2.2%
12t
-1.4%
7t
 +105.1%
2026
+10.8%
11t
-7.0%
12t
-3.0%
20t
+12.0%
8t
-2.6%
24t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +9.1%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +58.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 465 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +1.80% on 48 trades, WR 67%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for XAI over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 8 50.0% +0.11% 1.18 7.9
BULL 48 66.7% +1.80% 4.85 9.7
BEAR 60 21.7% +0.06% 1.05 9.6

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+4.0%
Win Rate
38.0%
19W / 31L
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
€10,000 Invested
€10,397
1.0x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
18 May 2026 00:00 18 May 2026 05:00 $0.01010 $0.01010 -0.41% CRASH 6 signal
17 May 2026 02:00 17 May 2026 22:00 $0.01050 $0.01040 -1.46% BEAR 21 stop
17 May 2026 00:00 17 May 2026 01:00 $0.01060 $0.01050 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
16 May 2026 09:00 16 May 2026 14:00 $0.01080 $0.01080 -0.04% CRASH 6 signal
16 May 2026 06:00 16 May 2026 07:00 $0.01120 $0.01110 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
15 May 2026 07:00 15 May 2026 12:00 $0.01190 $0.01180 -1.46% BEAR 6 stop
15 May 2026 05:00 15 May 2026 06:00 $0.01210 $0.01200 -1.46% BULL 2 stop
15 May 2026 00:00 15 May 2026 04:00 $0.01230 $0.01210 -1.46% BULL 5 stop
14 May 2026 12:00 14 May 2026 19:00 $0.01210 $0.01230 +1.65% NEUTRAL 8 signal
13 May 2026 13:00 14 May 2026 04:00 $0.01210 $0.01200 -1.46% BEAR 16 stop
12 May 2026 14:00 12 May 2026 21:00 $0.01200 $0.01250 +3.73% NEUTRAL 8 signal
12 May 2026 03:00 12 May 2026 09:00 $0.01230 $0.01230 +0.00% BULL 7 short_signal
11 May 2026 20:00 12 May 2026 02:00 $0.01250 $0.01230 -1.92% BULL 7 short_signal
11 May 2026 07:00 11 May 2026 19:00 $0.01210 $0.01250 +2.71% BULL 13 short_signal
10 May 2026 22:00 11 May 2026 02:00 $0.01230 $0.01220 -1.46% NEUTRAL 5 stop
10 May 2026 17:00 10 May 2026 20:00 $0.01240 $0.01230 -1.46% NEUTRAL 4 stop
10 May 2026 06:00 10 May 2026 09:00 $0.01220 $0.01210 -1.39% NEUTRAL 4 signal
09 May 2026 06:00 09 May 2026 11:00 $0.01190 $0.01240 +3.35% NEUTRAL 6 exit_fp
08 May 2026 23:00 09 May 2026 05:00 $0.01170 $0.01190 +1.98% BULL 7 short_signal
08 May 2026 16:00 08 May 2026 22:00 $0.01160 $0.01170 +0.45% BULL 7 short_signal
07 May 2026 04:00 08 May 2026 01:00 $0.01110 $0.01130 +1.80% BULL 22 trail
06 May 2026 01:00 07 May 2026 03:00 $0.01130 $0.01120 -1.46% BEAR 27 stop
05 May 2026 21:00 05 May 2026 23:00 $0.01120 $0.01120 -0.50% NEUTRAL 3 signal
04 May 2026 12:00 05 May 2026 05:00 $0.01100 $0.01110 +0.95% NEUTRAL 18 signal
27 Apr 2026 08:00 27 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.01050 $0.01090 +3.67% NEUTRAL 5 exit_fp
22 Apr 2026 14:00 22 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.01020 $0.01010 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
19 Apr 2026 19:00 20 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.01020 $0.01010 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
19 Apr 2026 06:00 19 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.01060 $0.01060 +0.16% CRASH 8 signal
19 Apr 2026 02:00 19 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.01070 $0.01090 +1.54% CRASH 3 signal
18 Apr 2026 01:00 18 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.01040 $0.01140 +9.49% NEUTRAL 6 exit_fp
02 Apr 2026 21:00 02 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.0089000 $0.0089000 -0.86% CRASH 3 signal
02 Apr 2026 03:00 02 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0089000 $0.0091000 +0.82% CRASH 4 signal
29 Mar 2026 01:00 29 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.0091000 $0.0090000 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
26 Mar 2026 06:00 26 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.0099000 $0.0099000 -0.61% CRASH 3 signal
24 Mar 2026 11:00 24 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.01000 $0.01000 -0.81% CRASH 4 signal
24 Mar 2026 07:00 24 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.01030 $0.01020 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
23 Mar 2026 08:00 23 Mar 2026 17:00 $0.01000 $0.01030 +2.47% BEAR 10 signal
22 Mar 2026 19:00 22 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.01010 $0.01000 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
19 Mar 2026 20:00 20 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.01000 $0.01020 +1.98% NEUTRAL 17 exit_fp
19 Mar 2026 12:00 19 Mar 2026 16:00 $0.01000 $0.0099000 -0.91% CRASH 5 signal
19 Mar 2026 08:00 19 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.01000 $0.01000 -0.71% CRASH 3 signal
18 Mar 2026 00:00 18 Mar 2026 02:00 $0.01040 $0.01050 -0.12% CRASH 3 signal
17 Mar 2026 05:00 17 Mar 2026 22:00 $0.01070 $0.01060 -1.46% BEAR 18 stop
14 Mar 2026 18:00 14 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.01090 $0.01080 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
13 Mar 2026 22:00 14 Mar 2026 00:00 $0.01160 $0.01150 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
12 Mar 2026 19:00 12 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.01150 $0.01170 +1.41% CRASH 3 signal
12 Mar 2026 00:00 12 Mar 2026 02:00 $0.01170 $0.01150 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
11 Mar 2026 20:00 11 Mar 2026 22:00 $0.01160 $0.01230 +6.05% CRASH 3 signal
07 Mar 2026 07:00 07 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.0091000 $0.0093000 +1.01% CRASH 3 signal
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.0093000 $0.0094000 -0.09% CRASH 3 signal

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40.2% Win Rate Sharpe 1.14 465 Trades -9.4% Max Drawdown