Backtests / AI
OMNISCIUS · V4.2 (THEROS)

AI AI (AI) Backtest

Walk-forward validated backtest results for AI. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.

6 Walk-Forward Cycles May 2024 – May 2026 $0.021800 (-2.68%)
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Sleepless AI (AI) is a Binance-listed AI gaming token tied to interactive virtual companions and AI-driven game mechanics. Listed Q1-2024 via Binance Launchpool; rides the AI-narrative correlation with TAO, FET and similar tokens.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio
11.16
Sortino Ratio
8.72
Profit Factor
18.21
Calmar Ratio
372,771.49
Win Rate
80.5%
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Avg Drawdown
-10.63%
Alpha vs B&H
+908,025,106.8pp
Total Trades
70
Exposure
38.0%
Beats B&H
6/6
Sharpe Trend
-1.77
AI

AI Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
+21.0%
15t
+21.3%
24t
+72.0%
26t
+93.0%
23t
+182.8%
20t
+103.2%
17t
+338.0%
21t
+129.9%
18t
+28,105.8%
2025
+231.2%
22t
+77.6%
17t
+41.3%
13t
+184.3%
15t
+147.6%
15t
+73.4%
13t
+112.4%
17t
+133.7%
16t
+95.2%
13t
+95.2%
19t
+109.1%
18t
+62.6%
11t
+652,346.6%
2026
+81.8%
14t
+42.3%
17t
+51.3%
20t
+200.2%
16t
+22.7%
2t
+1,342.0%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +9.08M× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 80.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Large drawdown: -20.4% — expect volatility on capital.
  • Robust sample: 70 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.31% on 54 trades, WR 87%.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 126 81.2% +4.15% 7.64 13.4
BULL 54 88.6% +6.08% 81.66 22.7
SIDEWAYS 186 86.6% +5.39% 156.54 18.2
BEAR 56 82.1% +4.49% 20.70 18.0

Per-Cycle Results

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle Period Sharpe Return MaxDD Win Rate Trades B&H
1 May '24 – Sep '24 8.56 518% -20.4% 69.8% 96 Yes
2 Sep '24 – Jan '25 14.65 52.1x -7.4% 80.3% 76 Yes
3 Jan '25 – May '25 12.52 18.0x -14.1% 84.4% 64 Yes
4 May '25 – Sep '25 13.65 14.7x -5.6% 86.9% 61 Yes
5 Sep '25 – Jan '26 10.80 862% -7.8% 82.0% 61 Yes
6 Jan '26 – May '26 6.79 866% -8.5% 79.7% 64 Yes

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Feb 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
02 May 2026 00:00 02 May 2026 02:00 $0.02290 $0.02340 +1.77% SIDEWAYS 3 exit_fp
30 Apr 2026 20:00 01 May 2026 11:00 $0.02040 $0.02470 +20.58% SIDEWAYS 16 exit_fp
30 Apr 2026 04:00 30 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.02650 $0.02720 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 2 exit_fp
28 Apr 2026 09:00 29 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.01720 $0.02940 +70.23% SIDEWAYS 28 exit_fp
24 Apr 2026 13:00 24 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.01890 $0.02000 +5.39% SIDEWAYS 4 exit_fp
23 Apr 2026 10:00 24 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.02120 $0.02210 +3.82% SIDEWAYS 15 exit_fp
21 Apr 2026 19:00 22 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.02160 $0.02260 +4.20% SIDEWAYS 11 exit_fp
20 Apr 2026 00:00 21 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.02130 $0.02270 +6.14% SIDEWAYS 26 exit_fp
14 Apr 2026 13:00 17 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.01940 $0.02220 +13.97% SIDEWAYS 62 take_profit
12 Apr 2026 21:00 14 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.01910 $0.01950 +1.81% BEAR 28 trail
09 Apr 2026 20:00 10 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.01960 $0.02010 +2.13% BEAR 28 exit_fp
09 Apr 2026 00:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.01860 $0.02010 +7.62% BEAR 8 exit_fp
08 Apr 2026 06:00 08 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.01910 $0.01900 -0.93% BEAR 5 short_signal
07 Apr 2026 04:00 07 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.01830 $0.01770 -3.58% BEAR 12 stop
05 Apr 2026 23:00 06 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.01840 $0.01900 +2.84% BEAR 17 exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 06:00 05 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.01840 $0.01850 +0.13% BEAR 5 short_signal
02 Apr 2026 11:00 03 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.01830 $0.02040 +11.02% BEAR 17 exit_fp
31 Mar 2026 21:00 01 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.01790 $0.01840 +2.37% BEAR 26 short_signal
31 Mar 2026 03:00 31 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.01790 $0.01750 -2.81% BEAR 6 stop
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.01740 $0.01820 +4.17% BEAR 16 short_signal
28 Mar 2026 20:00 28 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.01840 $0.01780 -3.89% BEAR 4 stop
28 Mar 2026 03:00 28 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.01770 $0.01780 +0.15% BEAR 5 short_signal
25 Mar 2026 11:00 25 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.02080 $0.02080 -0.41% BEAR 5 short_signal
24 Mar 2026 09:00 24 Mar 2026 22:00 $0.02040 $0.02020 -1.39% BEAR 14 short_signal
23 Mar 2026 09:00 23 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.01970 $0.02040 +2.78% BEAR 12 trail
22 Mar 2026 13:00 22 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.02030 $0.01980 -2.83% BEAR 8 stop
21 Mar 2026 13:00 21 Mar 2026 17:00 $0.02090 $0.02090 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 5 short_signal
16 Mar 2026 00:00 16 Mar 2026 16:00 $0.02340 $0.02410 +2.57% BEAR 17 short_signal
14 Mar 2026 01:00 15 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.02270 $0.02340 +2.47% BEAR 31 trail
13 Mar 2026 02:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.02320 $0.02370 +1.74% BEAR 11 exit_fp
11 Mar 2026 22:00 12 Mar 2026 11:00 $0.02250 $0.02280 +0.92% BEAR 14 exit_fp
11 Mar 2026 02:00 11 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.02190 $0.02520 +14.60% BEAR 8 exit_fp
09 Mar 2026 23:00 10 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.01970 $0.02030 +2.70% BEAR 15 trail
08 Mar 2026 17:00 09 Mar 2026 02:00 $0.01960 $0.02060 +4.67% BEAR 10 exit_fp
07 Mar 2026 20:00 08 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.01950 $0.01910 -2.78% BEAR 9 stop
03 Mar 2026 05:00 04 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.01930 $0.02170 +11.98% BEAR 40 short_signal
01 Mar 2026 18:00 02 Mar 2026 16:00 $0.01920 $0.02000 +3.74% BEAR 23 exit_fp
28 Feb 2026 07:00 01 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.01900 $0.02020 +5.88% BEAR 19 exit_fp
26 Feb 2026 13:00 27 Feb 2026 08:00 $0.02090 $0.02160 +2.93% BEAR 20 exit_fp
24 Feb 2026 15:00 25 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.02030 $0.02180 +6.95% BEAR 26 exit_fp
23 Feb 2026 17:00 24 Feb 2026 02:00 $0.02070 $0.02100 +1.03% BEAR 10 short_signal
20 Feb 2026 02:00 21 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.02230 $0.02360 +5.40% BEAR 24 exit_fp
19 Feb 2026 09:00 19 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.02250 $0.02200 -2.69% BEAR 5 stop
17 Feb 2026 10:00 17 Feb 2026 14:00 $0.02350 $0.02380 +0.86% BEAR 5 short_signal
15 Feb 2026 16:00 16 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.02300 $0.02440 +5.65% BEAR 30 exit_fp
13 Feb 2026 04:00 14 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.02250 $0.02350 +3.97% BEAR 25 trail
11 Feb 2026 19:00 12 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.02200 $0.02300 +3.90% BEAR 21 trail
10 Feb 2026 15:00 11 Feb 2026 06:00 $0.02260 $0.02200 -3.25% BEAR 16 stop
09 Feb 2026 10:00 10 Feb 2026 02:00 $0.02270 $0.02310 +1.35% BEAR 17 short_signal
07 Feb 2026 13:00 07 Feb 2026 17:00 $0.02420 $0.02450 +0.83% BEAR 5 short_signal

Start Trading AI Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time AI signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

80.5% Win Rate Sharpe 11.16 70 Trades -20.4% Max Drawdown