INJINJInjective$4.9590-2.17%
24h High$5.18
24h Low$4.94
Volume$4.2M
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / INJ
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

INJ Injective (INJ) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for INJ - Injective. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 805 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $174,449. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $4.9590 (-2.17%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Injective (INJ) is a Cosmos-based Layer 1 specifically built for decentralized derivatives, perpetuals, and financial applications. Listed since 2020, INJ has multi-cycle history with strong cyclical behaviour around DeFi and derivatives narratives. Price tends to outperform during DeFi-rotation phases and underperform in pure memecoin cycles.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View INJ Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.96
Sortino Ratio
4.45
Profit Factor
2.29
Calmar Ratio
34.93
Win Rate
45.6%
Max Drawdown
-8.5%
Avg Drawdown
-8.46%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,953.0pp
Total Trades
805
Exposure
47.0%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
INJ

INJ Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
+2.7%
10t
+10.7%
36t
+25.7%
44t
+36.6%
33t
+48.2%
34t
+34.0%
23t
+6.6%
35t
+93.3%
27t
+52.1%
48t
 +1,116.3%
2025 +41.4%
33t
 		+34.4%
32t
 		+54.5%
32t
 		+37.3%
33t
 		+39.4%
34t
 		+58.5%
39t
 		+29.6%
30t
 		+18.2%
39t
 		-1.0%
21t
 		+43.7%
27t
 		+10.6%
24t
 		+13.5%
26t
 		+2,335.9%
2026 +2.9%
38t
 		+25.8%
32t
 		+4.6%
32t
 		+7.9%
32t
+17.5%
11t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +71.6%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,644.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 805 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.37% on 59 trades, WR 73%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.18% on 253 trades, WR 19%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for INJ over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 22 86.4% +3.06% 46.47 11.2
BULL 59 72.9% +3.37% 10.88 13.4
BEAR 383 57.4% +1.03% 3.30 10.9

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+11.9%
Win Rate
54.0%
27W / 23L
Max Drawdown
-2.6%
€10,000 Invested
€11,191
1.1x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
16 May 2026 15:00 16 May 2026 17:00 $4.641 $4.779 +2.78% NEUTRAL 3 signal
16 May 2026 07:00 16 May 2026 13:00 $4.662 $4.647 -0.51% BEAR 7 signal
15 May 2026 14:00 15 May 2026 18:00 $4.808 $4.923 +2.20% BEAR 5 signal
14 May 2026 13:00 15 May 2026 02:00 $5.078 $5.255 +3.29% BUBBLE 14 short_signal
14 May 2026 03:00 14 May 2026 10:00 $4.961 $5.257 +5.77% BEAR 8 signal
13 May 2026 22:00 14 May 2026 02:00 $5.084 $5.030 -1.33% BEAR 5 stop
13 May 2026 20:00 13 May 2026 21:00 $5.138 $5.083 -1.33% NEUTRAL 2 stop
10 May 2026 05:00 10 May 2026 15:00 $4.124 $4.225 +2.25% BULL 11 short_signal
04 May 2026 11:00 05 May 2026 07:00 $3.704 $3.722 +0.33% BULL 21 signal
01 May 2026 06:00 01 May 2026 09:00 $3.454 $3.575 +3.34% NEUTRAL 4 signal
30 Apr 2026 17:00 01 May 2026 01:00 $3.447 $3.442 -0.33% BEAR 9 signal
30 Apr 2026 05:00 30 Apr 2026 09:00 $3.423 $3.454 +0.71% BEAR 5 signal
29 Apr 2026 21:00 30 Apr 2026 04:00 $3.456 $3.419 -1.33% BEAR 8 stop
28 Apr 2026 18:00 29 Apr 2026 20:00 $3.512 $3.474 -1.33% CRASH 27 stop
28 Apr 2026 12:00 28 Apr 2026 14:00 $3.550 $3.573 +0.46% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 12:00 28 Apr 2026 10:00 $3.579 $3.590 +0.15% BEAR 23 signal
23 Apr 2026 01:00 23 Apr 2026 06:00 $3.288 $3.290 -0.10% BEAR 6 signal
21 Apr 2026 18:00 21 Apr 2026 23:00 $3.246 $3.277 +0.79% BEAR 6 signal
21 Apr 2026 03:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $3.260 $3.295 +0.91% NEUTRAL 3 signal
20 Apr 2026 19:00 21 Apr 2026 00:00 $3.319 $3.293 -0.94% BEAR 6 signal
20 Apr 2026 05:00 20 Apr 2026 07:00 $3.251 $3.242 -0.44% BEAR 3 signal
19 Apr 2026 16:00 20 Apr 2026 02:00 $3.261 $3.227 -1.20% BEAR 11 signal
19 Apr 2026 13:00 19 Apr 2026 15:00 $3.303 $3.267 -1.31% BEAR 3 stop
18 Apr 2026 20:00 19 Apr 2026 10:00 $3.217 $3.265 +1.33% BEAR 15 signal
18 Apr 2026 11:00 18 Apr 2026 19:00 $3.264 $3.228 -1.31% BEAR 9 stop
18 Apr 2026 01:00 18 Apr 2026 05:00 $3.372 $3.354 -0.69% BEAR 5 signal
16 Apr 2026 06:00 16 Apr 2026 08:00 $3.301 $3.360 +1.62% BEAR 3 signal
16 Apr 2026 00:00 16 Apr 2026 04:00 $3.217 $3.335 +3.50% BEAR 5 signal
14 Apr 2026 23:00 15 Apr 2026 01:00 $2.972 $3.004 +0.88% BEAR 3 signal
12 Apr 2026 11:00 14 Apr 2026 06:00 $2.919 $3.020 +3.26% BEAR 44 signal
12 Apr 2026 02:00 12 Apr 2026 10:00 $2.940 $2.908 -1.31% CRASH 9 stop
10 Apr 2026 08:00 10 Apr 2026 11:00 $2.965 $2.984 +0.48% BEAR 4 signal
10 Apr 2026 02:00 10 Apr 2026 04:00 $2.966 $2.985 +0.45% BEAR 3 signal
08 Apr 2026 23:00 09 Apr 2026 15:00 $2.914 $2.967 +1.63% BEAR 17 signal
08 Apr 2026 13:00 08 Apr 2026 21:00 $3.012 $2.980 -1.33% CRASH 9 stop
07 Apr 2026 03:00 07 Apr 2026 21:00 $2.834 $2.928 +3.12% BEAR 19 signal
06 Apr 2026 18:00 07 Apr 2026 02:00 $2.919 $2.888 -1.33% CRASH 9 stop
06 Apr 2026 03:00 06 Apr 2026 12:00 $2.873 $2.963 +2.94% BEAR 10 signal
05 Apr 2026 13:00 05 Apr 2026 15:00 $2.756 $2.780 +0.68% BEAR 3 signal
05 Apr 2026 03:00 05 Apr 2026 09:00 $2.800 $2.781 -0.87% BEAR 7 signal
03 Apr 2026 02:00 04 Apr 2026 06:00 $2.764 $2.803 +1.22% BEAR 29 signal
02 Apr 2026 03:00 03 Apr 2026 00:00 $2.782 $2.752 -1.33% BEAR 22 stop
31 Mar 2026 11:00 02 Apr 2026 02:00 $2.851 $2.820 -1.33% CRASH 40 stop
30 Mar 2026 20:00 31 Mar 2026 00:00 $2.873 $2.879 +0.02% BEAR 5 signal
30 Mar 2026 14:00 30 Mar 2026 18:00 $2.926 $2.895 -1.33% BEAR 5 stop
30 Mar 2026 08:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $2.930 $2.930 -0.19% BEAR 5 signal
30 Mar 2026 03:00 30 Mar 2026 07:00 $2.864 $2.930 +2.11% BEAR 5 exit_fp
29 Mar 2026 13:00 30 Mar 2026 02:00 $2.797 $2.864 +2.20% BEAR 14 exit_fp
29 Mar 2026 03:00 29 Mar 2026 12:00 $2.835 $2.805 -1.33% CRASH 10 stop
28 Mar 2026 21:00 29 Mar 2026 02:00 $2.887 $2.856 -1.33% CRASH 6 stop

Start Trading Injective Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time INJ signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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45.6% Win Rate Sharpe 3.96 805 Trades -8.5% Max Drawdown