IRYSIRYSIrys$0.015233+3.63%
24h High$0.02
24h Low$0.01
Volume$0
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / IRYS
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

IRYS Irys (IRYS) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for IRYS - Irys. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2026 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 37 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $13,586. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 1 Walk-Forward Cycle Apr 2026 – May 2026 $0.015233 (+3.63%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Irys (IRYS) is a Layer 1 programmable datachain focused on verifiable data storage and provenance, evolved from the earlier Bundlr Network. It targets use cases where data must be permanently stored and provably attributed, including AI and on-chain applications. IRYS is a very recent listing with only a few months of price history, so it carries a strict limited-data flag; our model generates signals for it but treats them as not yet fully validated.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
6.20
Sortino Ratio
7.14
Profit Factor
2.85
Calmar Ratio
397.88
Win Rate
37.8%
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Avg Drawdown
-12.85%
Alpha vs B&H
-1,221.3pp
Total Trades
37
Exposure
51.1%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
IRYS

IRYS Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2026
+45.1%
14t
+23.0%
23t
+78.5%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +35.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Low win rate: 37.8% — profits depend on a few large winners.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.46% on 12 trades, WR 75%.
  • Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -1.46% on 9 trades, WR 0%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for IRYS over the latest walk-forward cycle (2026-04-20 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BULL 12 75.0% +4.46% 13.22 13.9
BEAR 7 14.3% -0.92% 0.26 7.9

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 37 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 11:00 20 May 2026 06:00 $0.02930 $0.03250 +10.48% NEUTRAL 20 exit_fp
18 May 2026 18:00 19 May 2026 09:00 $0.03000 $0.02970 -1.46% BEAR 16 stop
18 May 2026 08:00 18 May 2026 17:00 $0.03250 $0.03220 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
18 May 2026 01:00 18 May 2026 07:00 $0.03440 $0.03410 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
18 May 2026 00:00 18 May 2026 00:00 $0.03750 $0.03720 -1.46% CRASH 1 stop
17 May 2026 21:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $0.03780 $0.03750 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
17 May 2026 15:00 17 May 2026 20:00 $0.03880 $0.03840 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
17 May 2026 03:00 17 May 2026 14:00 $0.04100 $0.04060 -1.46% BEAR 12 stop
16 May 2026 23:00 17 May 2026 02:00 $0.04350 $0.04310 -1.46% NEUTRAL 4 stop
16 May 2026 02:00 16 May 2026 07:00 $0.04860 $0.04820 -1.46% NEUTRAL 6 stop
15 May 2026 19:00 16 May 2026 01:00 $0.05000 $0.04950 -1.46% BULL 7 stop
15 May 2026 16:00 15 May 2026 17:00 $0.05220 $0.05170 -1.46% BULL 2 stop
09 May 2026 08:00 11 May 2026 06:00 $0.03000 $0.03190 +5.94% BULL 34 short_signal
07 May 2026 23:00 08 May 2026 18:00 $0.03030 $0.03100 +1.94% BULL 17 trail
07 May 2026 09:00 07 May 2026 17:00 $0.03070 $0.03050 -1.46% NEUTRAL 9 stop
06 May 2026 09:00 07 May 2026 06:00 $0.02820 $0.03150 +11.45% BULL 17 exit_fp
05 May 2026 14:00 06 May 2026 08:00 $0.02980 $0.02950 -1.46% BEAR 14 stop
05 May 2026 12:00 05 May 2026 13:00 $0.03040 $0.03010 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
05 May 2026 10:00 05 May 2026 11:00 $0.03110 $0.03080 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
05 May 2026 05:00 05 May 2026 09:00 $0.03290 $0.03260 -1.46% BEAR 5 stop
04 May 2026 21:00 05 May 2026 04:00 $0.03290 $0.03260 -1.46% NEUTRAL 6 stop
01 May 2026 15:00 01 May 2026 19:00 $0.03120 $0.03480 +10.85% NEUTRAL 5 exit_fp
30 Apr 2026 10:00 01 May 2026 12:00 $0.02990 $0.03220 +7.15% BULL 23 exit_fp
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.02980 $0.03180 +6.18% BULL 11 exit_fp
29 Apr 2026 00:00 29 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.02850 $0.03100 +8.33% BULL 8 exit_fp
28 Apr 2026 20:00 28 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.02830 $0.02800 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
28 Apr 2026 17:00 28 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.02870 $0.02850 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
28 Apr 2026 05:00 28 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.02990 $0.02960 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
27 Apr 2026 11:00 27 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.02870 $0.03030 +5.42% BULL 11 exit_fp
26 Apr 2026 06:00 27 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.02820 $0.02950 +3.91% BULL 20 trail
25 Apr 2026 20:00 26 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.02910 $0.02880 -1.46% BULL 6 stop
25 Apr 2026 04:00 25 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.02960 $0.02940 -1.46% NEUTRAL 5 stop
24 Apr 2026 18:00 25 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.02820 $0.02960 +4.76% NEUTRAL 8 exit_fp
23 Apr 2026 02:00 23 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.02810 $0.03070 +9.09% NEUTRAL 8 exit_fp
22 Apr 2026 05:00 22 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.02830 $0.03060 +7.59% BULL 11 exit_fp
21 Apr 2026 03:00 21 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.02790 $0.02760 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
20 Apr 2026 13:00 20 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.02800 $0.02880 +2.32% BEAR 2 exit_fp

Start Trading Irys Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time IRYS signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

37.8% Win Rate Sharpe 6.20 37 Trades -12.9% Max Drawdown