SUISUISui$0.704500-1.34%
24h High$0.72
24h Low$0.71
Volume$17.4M
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / SUI
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

SUI Sui (SUI) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for SUI - Sui. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 678 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $222,848. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 1 Walk-Forward Cycle Apr 2024 – May 2026 $0.704500 (-1.34%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Sui is a Layer 1 blockchain built by former Meta engineers, using the Move programming language for parallel transaction execution. With sub-second finality and a focus on user experience, Sui has attracted significant DeFi and gaming activity. As a newer asset, SUI shows strong price discovery patterns and trending behavior that our model captures through momentum and volume analysis.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.70
Sortino Ratio
4.17
Profit Factor
2.21
Calmar Ratio
28.33
Win Rate
42.9%
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Avg Drawdown
-12.18%
Alpha vs B&H
+4,271.4pp
Total Trades
678
Exposure
46.2%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
SUI

SUI Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
-5.8%
12t
+3.9%
29t
+27.5%
31t
+35.7%
31t
+36.5%
36t
+57.5%
33t
+50.5%
31t
+27.9%
19t
+87.1%
34t
+1,210.0%
2025 +47.8%
38t
+71.1%
43t
+53.2%
22t
+30.7%
23t
+19.9%
29t
+21.0%
32t
+9.4%
25t
+17.8%
21t
+13.3%
16t
+32.5%
23t
+22.3%
31t
+25.6%
19t
+2,083.1%
2026 +2.2%
20t
+15.5%
27t
-0.4%
24t
-0.7%
17t
-2.6%
12t
+13.8%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +2,128.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Robust sample: 678 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.58% on 73 trades, WR 81%.
  • Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.08% on 205 trades, WR 21%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for SUI over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 73 80.8% +2.58% 11.12 11.1
BULL 95 56.8% +1.67% 3.91 13.4
BEAR 233 47.6% +0.92% 2.35 13.8

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
18 May 2026 00:00 18 May 2026 19:00 $1.035 $1.052 +1.28% BULL 20 signal
17 May 2026 00:00 17 May 2026 19:00 $1.063 $1.070 +0.36% BULL 20 signal
16 May 2026 06:00 16 May 2026 23:00 $1.072 $1.062 -1.41% NEUTRAL 18 stop
15 May 2026 10:00 16 May 2026 05:00 $1.136 $1.124 -1.41% BEAR 20 stop
15 May 2026 07:00 15 May 2026 09:00 $1.155 $1.143 -1.41% BEAR 3 stop
15 May 2026 05:00 15 May 2026 06:00 $1.168 $1.157 -1.41% NEUTRAL 2 stop
15 May 2026 02:00 15 May 2026 04:00 $1.185 $1.173 -1.41% NEUTRAL 3 stop
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 18:00 $1.190 $1.216 +1.85% BULL 27 signal
12 May 2026 15:00 13 May 2026 07:00 $1.230 $1.240 +0.45% BULL 17 signal
06 May 2026 15:00 07 May 2026 15:00 $0.98340 $0.97360 -1.41% BEAR 25 stop
04 May 2026 11:00 05 May 2026 00:00 $0.92810 $0.93260 +0.17% BEAR 14 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 01 May 2026 13:00 $0.90370 $0.92340 +1.86% NEUTRAL 46 exit_fp
27 Apr 2026 16:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.92170 $0.91260 -1.41% BEAR 48 stop
27 Apr 2026 06:00 27 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.93330 $0.92400 -1.41% CRASH 10 stop
25 Apr 2026 17:00 26 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.93680 $0.94290 +0.34% BEAR 13 signal
23 Apr 2026 00:00 23 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.93640 $0.93920 -0.01% BEAR 14 signal
20 Apr 2026 06:00 22 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.93120 $0.94950 +1.65% BEAR 43 signal
19 Apr 2026 16:00 20 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.95350 $0.94400 -1.41% BEAR 13 stop
19 Apr 2026 05:00 19 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.94730 $0.96230 +1.27% BEAR 10 exit_fp
18 Apr 2026 18:00 19 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.96040 $0.95050 -1.37% CRASH 10 stop
13 Apr 2026 00:00 13 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.90350 $0.90500 -0.08% BEAR 7 signal
12 Apr 2026 02:00 12 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.91310 $0.90370 -1.37% BEAR 22 stop
08 Apr 2026 15:00 09 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.92750 $0.91790 -1.37% CRASH 10 stop
06 Apr 2026 23:00 07 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.87260 $0.89320 +2.11% BEAR 21 exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 13:00 05 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.84440 $0.87750 +3.66% BEAR 11 signal
05 Apr 2026 07:00 05 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.85510 $0.84660 -1.41% CRASH 6 stop
03 Apr 2026 15:00 04 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.87050 $0.87210 -0.13% BEAR 14 signal
03 Apr 2026 02:00 03 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.85930 $0.87810 +1.87% BEAR 6 exit_fp
02 Apr 2026 02:00 02 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.86370 $0.85510 -1.41% CRASH 16 stop
31 Mar 2026 10:00 31 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.85950 $0.87650 +1.66% BEAR 11 signal
30 Mar 2026 18:00 31 Mar 2026 06:00 $0.86440 $0.87150 +0.51% BEAR 13 signal
30 Mar 2026 13:00 30 Mar 2026 17:00 $0.88790 $0.87910 -1.41% BEAR 5 stop
29 Mar 2026 00:00 30 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.86020 $0.86740 +0.53% BEAR 26 exit_fp
28 Mar 2026 09:00 28 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.88260 $0.87380 -1.41% CRASH 15 stop
27 Mar 2026 11:00 28 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.89360 $0.88470 -1.41% BEAR 22 stop
27 Mar 2026 06:00 27 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.92310 $0.91390 -1.41% CRASH 5 stop
23 Mar 2026 08:00 23 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.90310 $0.94600 +4.43% BEAR 5 exit_fp
22 Mar 2026 19:00 23 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.90990 $0.90090 -1.41% CRASH 13 stop
22 Mar 2026 00:00 22 Mar 2026 18:00 $0.92580 $0.91660 -1.41% BEAR 19 stop
19 Mar 2026 13:00 21 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.94240 $0.96100 +1.55% BEAR 49 trail
19 Mar 2026 08:00 19 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.96150 $0.95200 -1.41% CRASH 5 stop
19 Mar 2026 02:00 19 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.98140 $0.97170 -1.41% BEAR 6 stop
18 Mar 2026 12:00 18 Mar 2026 20:00 $1.002 $0.99200 -1.37% CRASH 9 stop
15 Mar 2026 11:00 15 Mar 2026 22:00 $1.001 $1.025 +2.12% NEUTRAL 12 exit_fp
14 Mar 2026 00:00 14 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.99430 $0.98400 -1.37% BEAR 11 stop
13 Mar 2026 16:00 13 Mar 2026 23:00 $1.014 $1.004 -1.37% CRASH 8 stop
08 Mar 2026 04:00 09 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.88160 $0.92350 +4.49% BEAR 34 exit_fp
07 Mar 2026 13:00 08 Mar 2026 03:00 $0.90300 $0.89370 -1.37% CRASH 15 stop
06 Mar 2026 14:00 07 Mar 2026 03:00 $0.90960 $0.90020 -1.37% CRASH 14 stop
04 Mar 2026 13:00 05 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.93650 $0.95750 +1.99% BEAR 21 signal

Start Trading Sui Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time SUI signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

42.9% Win Rate Sharpe 3.70 678 Trades -12.2% Max Drawdown