Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 20 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

AMP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.42%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 7L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+91.18%
▲ +33.45
Win Rate
61.9%
▲ +3.10
Sharpe
9.09
▼ -9.09
Alpha vs B&H
+101.42pp
▼ -101.42
Max DD
-4.09%
▼ -3.33
Avg DD
-6.43%
▲ +6.43
Risk / Reward
22.30×
Trades
21
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+124.63%
Win Rate
65.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.42%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
V2.5.8.3
Return
+59.42%
▲ +65.21
Win Rate
56.5%
▲ +8.50
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.49%
▲ +0.07
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
23
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
+66.2%
14t
+50.4%
20t
+49.4%
14t
+98.5%
13t
+18.8%
12t
+42.3%
12t
+68.8%
15t
+3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
-1.8
6
+0.1
7
8
-1.1
9
+0.4
10
-1.1
11
12
-0.4
13
14
15
+5.0
16
17
+37.3
18
-2.9
19
+2.6
20
+11.3
21
+1.5
22
23
24
+19.1
25
-0.7
26
+10.0
27
+5.8
28
29
30
+3.7
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +124.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 65.0%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +13.95% on 3 trades, WR 67%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 17 64.7% +2.83% +56.84% 9h
BULL 3 66.7% +13.95% +43.55% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 02:00 05 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
05 Jan 2025 22:00 06 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.07% BUBBLE 4h
07 Jan 2025 22:00 08 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.06% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.07% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 20:00 09 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.45% BUBBLE 4h
10 Jan 2025 12:00 10 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.13% BUBBLE 10h
11 Jan 2025 10:00 12 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.42% BULL 21h
13 Jan 2025 11:00 15 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.03% BULL 2.1d
16 Jan 2025 01:00 17 Jan 2025 20:00 $0.01 $0.01 +37.25% BULL 1.8d
18 Jan 2025 09:00 18 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.01 $0.01 -2.87% BUBBLE 3h
19 Jan 2025 09:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.59% BUBBLE 7h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +11.30% BUBBLE 7h
21 Jan 2025 00:00 21 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.46% BUBBLE 16h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 24 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.01 $0.01 +19.13% BUBBLE 1.2d
24 Jan 2025 23:00 25 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.50% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jan 2025 16:00 25 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.77% BUBBLE 8h
26 Jan 2025 13:00 26 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.01 $0.01 +10.00% BUBBLE 9h
27 Jan 2025 10:00 27 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.84% BUBBLE 5h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 30 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.68% BUBBLE 1.3d
31 Jan 2025 04:00 31 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.16% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

65.0% Win Rate +124.6% Return -7.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees