Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

AMP — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.05%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+66.16%
▼ -0.99
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -1.31
Sharpe
9.70
▼ -9.70
Alpha vs B&H
+99.86pp
▼ -99.86
Max DD
-1.69%
▼ -7.36
Avg DD
-5.75%
▲ +5.75
Risk / Reward
39.14×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+65.17%
Win Rate
84.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.05%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.93%
▼ -2.76
Win Rate
84.2%
▲ +0.20
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.14%
▼ -6.91
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
+66.2%
14t
+50.4%
20t
+49.4%
14t
+98.5%
13t
+18.8%
12t
+42.3%
12t
+68.8%
15t
+3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
+38.7
5
6
-1.7
7
+4.2
8
9
+6.6
10
11
+3.3
12
13
+1.6
14
+0.8
15
+1.1
16
-0.2
17
18
19
20
+2.1
21
22
+2.6
23
24
25
26
+4.1
27
+1.0
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +65.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 84.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +17.92% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +17.92% +38.68% 15h
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +2.12% +28.31% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.01 +23.99% BUBBLE 1d
04 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.01 $0.01 +11.85% BUBBLE 5h
05 Feb 2025 21:00 06 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.01 $0.01 -1.69% SIDEWAYS 7h
07 Feb 2025 01:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.16% SIDEWAYS 14h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.61% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
10 Feb 2025 10:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 20h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
14 Feb 2025 08:00 14 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.80% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Feb 2025 17:00 15 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 4h
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 4h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 2d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 22 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.12% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Feb 2025 20:00 27 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 1.1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

84.4% Win Rate +65.2% Return -9.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees