Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AMP Signals →

AMP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+50.6%
€10,000 →
€15,059
Win Rate
52.0%
13W / 5L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.02%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 5L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+50.43%
▲ +0.16
Win Rate
75.0%
▼ -23.00
Sharpe
6.16
▼ -6.16
Alpha vs B&H
+72.98pp
▼ -72.98
Max DD
-2.37%
▼ -2.65
Avg DD
-3.51%
▲ +3.51
Risk / Reward
21.28×
Trades
20
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+50.59%
Win Rate
52.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.02%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
V2.5.8.3
Return
+40.43%
▲ +10.16
Win Rate
65.4%
▼ -13.40
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.12%
▼ -3.90
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
26
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
 		+66.2%
14t
 		+50.4%
20t
 		+49.4%
14t
 		+98.5%
13t
 		+18.8%
12t
 		+42.3%
12t
 		+68.8%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
-0.1
4
—
5
—
6
+1.5
7
-1.1
8
—
9
+8.9
10
+2.6
11
+5.2
12
—
13
+8.3
14
—
15
+6.7
16
—
17
—
18
+3.0
19
—
20
+5.7
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
+2.0
26
+1.2
27
-0.2
28
+1.3
29
—
30
-0.1
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +50.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.80% on 16 trades, WR 81%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -1.19% on 2 trades, WR 0%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 81.3% +2.80% +54.59% 21h
BEAR 2 0.0% -1.19% -2.37% 6h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.01 $0.01 -2.25% BEAR 2h
02 Mar 2025 16:00 03 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.12% BEAR 10h
03 Mar 2025 22:00 06 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.47% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.07% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Mar 2025 12:00 09 Mar 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.87% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Mar 2025 01:00 10 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Mar 2025 19:00 10 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Mar 2025 10:00 11 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.15% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Mar 2025 10:00 13 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 19h
13 Mar 2025 17:00 13 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.01% SIDEWAYS 5h
14 Mar 2025 10:00 15 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.74% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
16 Mar 2025 22:00 18 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.00% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Mar 2025 19:00 20 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.67% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
21 Mar 2025 21:00 25 Mar 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.98% SIDEWAYS 3.5d
25 Mar 2025 20:00 26 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 15h
26 Mar 2025 23:00 27 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.17% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Mar 2025 21:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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52.0% Win Rate +50.6% Return -5.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees