Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

AMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.40%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+98.49%
▲ +2.43
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -0.82
Sharpe
10.36
▼ -10.36
Alpha vs B&H
+96.36pp
▼ -96.36
Max DD
-1.54%
▼ -2.86
Avg DD
-3.96%
▲ +3.96
Risk / Reward
63.95×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+100.92%
Win Rate
83.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.40%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+56.50%
▲ +44.42
Win Rate
92.3%
▼ -8.50
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.82%
▼ -3.58
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
+66.2%
14t
+50.4%
20t
+49.4%
14t
+98.5%
13t
+18.8%
12t
+42.3%
12t
+68.8%
15t
+3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+2.7
6
-1.5
7
8
9
10
11
+12.8
12
13
14
+29.9
15
16
+4.0
17
18
+3.6
19
+6.3
20
+1.2
21
22
23
+2.8
24
+3.0
25
-0.2
26
27
28
29
+2.5
30
31
+5.4
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +100.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 83.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.57% on 5 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 80.0% +9.57% +54.08% 1.4d
BUBBLE 8 87.5% +3.06% +27.03% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 14:00 05 May 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.65% BULL 21h
06 May 2025 07:00 06 May 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.54% BULL 7h
07 May 2025 10:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +12.80% BULL 3.7d
13 May 2025 02:00 14 May 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.01 +29.90% BULL 1.6d
15 May 2025 22:00 16 May 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.04% BULL 7h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.58% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 05:00 19 May 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.33% BUBBLE 8h
20 May 2025 01:00 20 May 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.20% BUBBLE 9h
20 May 2025 22:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.76% BUBBLE 2.1d
23 May 2025 21:00 24 May 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.97% BUBBLE 23h
25 May 2025 19:00 25 May 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.23% BUBBLE 3h
28 May 2025 16:00 29 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.46% BUBBLE 11h
31 May 2025 01:00 31 May 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.37% BUBBLE 14h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

83.8% Win Rate +100.9% Return -4.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees