Paper Trades / ICP / ICP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ICP Internet Computer Paper Trade

ICP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Internet Computer (ICP) aims to extend the internet's functionality by enabling smart contracts to run at web speed with unlimited capacity. Developed by DFINITY, ICP represents an ambitious attempt at decentralized cloud computing. After a turbulent launch, ICP has found its trading range with strong momentum patterns during protocol upgrade announcements and ecosystem growth periods.

ICP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Internet Computer (ICP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.56%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+81.84%
▼ -7.58
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +0.94
Sharpe
13.77
▼ -13.77
Alpha vs B&H
+106.09pp
▼ -106.09
Max DD
-2.13%
▼ -2.43
Avg DD
-3.14%
▲ +3.14
Risk / Reward
38.42×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+74.26%
Win Rate
93.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.56%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+44.70%
▲ +29.56
Win Rate
69.2%
▲ +24.60
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.38%
▼ -3.18
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ICP

ICP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.8%
14t
+37.7%
19t
+46.7%
14t
+48.2%
11t
+89.1%
12t
+70.4%
9t
+93.8%
12t
+63.9%
10t
+5,470.8%

All months for ICP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ICP — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+0.5
7
8
+1.3
9
10
+6.6
11
+2.8
12
13
14
15
+16.5
16
17
+5.9
18
19
+5.5
20
+6.1
21
22
+2.1
23
+0.8
24
25
+1.7
26
27
-4.3
28
+0.7
29
30
31
+9.9
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +74.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 93.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.39% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +2.79% +34.43% 13h
BULL 3 100.0% +8.39% +26.81% 1.5d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jan 2025 01:00 06 Jan 2025 04:00 $12.12 $12.23 +0.50% BUBBLE 4h
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 18:00 $10.75 $10.92 +1.27% BUBBLE 12h
09 Jan 2025 22:00 10 Jan 2025 09:00 $10.12 $10.81 +6.59% BUBBLE 12h
11 Jan 2025 09:00 11 Jan 2025 22:00 $10.18 $10.49 +2.84% BULL 14h
13 Jan 2025 11:00 15 Jan 2025 22:00 $9.33 $10.88 +16.46% BULL 2.5d
16 Jan 2025 11:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $10.70 $11.35 +5.88% BULL 1.5d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $10.16 $10.77 +5.53% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 07:00 $9.85 $10.49 +6.11% BUBBLE 4h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 01:00 $9.58 $9.81 +2.05% BUBBLE 1d
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 22:00 $9.16 $9.24 +0.76% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jan 2025 01:00 25 Jan 2025 03:00 $9.06 $9.23 +1.65% BUBBLE 3h
27 Jan 2025 01:00 27 Jan 2025 08:00 $8.65 $8.30 -4.26% BUBBLE 8h
27 Jan 2025 21:00 28 Jan 2025 08:00 $8.87 $8.95 +0.67% BUBBLE 12h
29 Jan 2025 14:00 31 Jan 2025 11:00 $8.47 $9.32 +9.85% BUBBLE 1.9d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ICP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Internet Computer Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ICP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

93.8% Win Rate +74.3% Return -4.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees