Paper Trades / ICP / ICP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ICP Internet Computer Paper Trade

ICP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Internet Computer (ICP) aims to extend the internet's functionality by enabling smart contracts to run at web speed with unlimited capacity. Developed by DFINITY, ICP represents an ambitious attempt at decentralized cloud computing. After a turbulent launch, ICP has found its trading range with strong momentum patterns during protocol upgrade announcements and ecosystem growth periods.

ICP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Internet Computer (ICP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.71%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+46.68%
▼ -1.99
Win Rate
78.6%
▼ -17.47
Sharpe
7.69
▼ -7.69
Alpha vs B&H
+65.67pp
▼ -65.67
Max DD
-2.25%
▼ -4.46
Avg DD
-3.56%
▲ +3.56
Risk / Reward
20.70×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+44.69%
Win Rate
61.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.71%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+45.74%
▼ -1.05
Win Rate
88.2%
▼ -27.10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.10%
▼ -6.61
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ICP

ICP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.8%
14t
+37.7%
19t
+46.7%
14t
+48.2%
11t
+89.1%
12t
+70.4%
9t
+93.8%
12t
+63.9%
10t
+5,470.8%

All months for ICP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ICP — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
-2.3
3
4
5
+1.9
6
7
+0.9
8
9
10
+3.8
11
12
+9.7
13
14
15
+6.9
16
17
+7.2
18
19
+4.3
20
21
+0.2
22
23
24
25
+6.0
26
+1.5
27
+0.7
28
29
30
31
-1.0
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +44.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 61.1%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.65% on 11 trades, WR 91%.
  • Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -0.19% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 90.9% +3.65% +47.50% 1.0d
BEAR 2 50.0% -0.19% -0.42% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $6.72 $6.60 -2.25% BEAR 13h
04 Mar 2025 10:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $5.96 $6.10 +1.87% BEAR 1.2d
06 Mar 2025 19:00 07 Mar 2025 13:00 $6.15 $6.22 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 19h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $5.43 $5.65 +3.81% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 12 Mar 2025 21:00 $4.96 $5.46 +9.72% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 13:00 $5.38 $5.76 +6.89% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
16 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 21:00 $5.60 $6.02 +7.17% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Mar 2025 12:00 19 Mar 2025 23:00 $5.72 $5.99 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
21 Mar 2025 13:00 21 Mar 2025 17:00 $5.68 $5.71 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 5h
22 Mar 2025 06:00 25 Mar 2025 12:00 $5.73 $6.09 +6.00% SIDEWAYS 3.3d
26 Mar 2025 04:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $6.15 $6.26 +1.47% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $5.99 $6.05 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
31 Mar 2025 01:00 31 Mar 2025 05:00 $5.31 $5.28 -1.01% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ICP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Internet Computer Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ICP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

61.1% Win Rate +44.7% Return -6.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees