Paper Trades / ID / ID — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ID Space ID Paper Trade

ID — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Space ID (ID) is a multi-chain web3 domain-name service supporting BNB Chain, Ethereum, Arbitrum, and other networks. Listed via Binance Launchpad in early 2023, it has roughly two cycles of trading history. Price reacts to ecosystem expansion, partner-chain integrations, and broader web3-identity narrative phases.

ID — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Space ID (ID) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.55%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+109.57%
▼ -3.15
Win Rate
92.9%
▼ -1.16
Sharpe
16.91
▼ -16.91
Alpha vs B&H
+122.22pp
▼ -122.22
Max DD
-0.26%
▼ -5.29
Avg DD
-5.40%
▲ +5.40
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+106.42%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.55%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+35.78%
▲ +70.64
Win Rate
64.7%
▲ +27.00
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.62%
▼ -0.93
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ID

ID Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.0%
16t
+120.6%
17t
+103.4%
18t
+76.0%
14t
+109.6%
14t
+34.5%
14t
+88.7%
18t
+112.3%
13t
+12,281.7%

All months for ID under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ID — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
-0.3
6
+1.2
7
8
9
10
+30.9
11
12
+1.5
13
14
+12.0
15
+1.1
16
17
18
+6.1
19
20
+3.5
21
22
23
+6.1
24
+1.7
25
+1.5
26
+4.6
27
+6.2
28
29
+4.5
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +106.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.73% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +7.73% +51.81% 1.2d
BUBBLE 8 100.0% +4.26% +39.48% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 02:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $0.20 $0.20 -0.26% BULL 7h
05 May 2025 21:00 06 May 2025 03:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.23% BULL 7h
06 May 2025 16:00 10 May 2025 21:00 $0.18 $0.24 +30.86% BULL 4.3d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 04:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.49% BULL 15h
12 May 2025 18:00 14 May 2025 06:00 $0.23 $0.25 +11.99% BULL 1.5d
15 May 2025 14:00 15 May 2025 20:00 $0.21 $0.22 +1.09% BULL 7h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $0.20 $0.22 +6.14% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 09:00 20 May 2025 11:00 $0.20 $0.20 +3.45% BUBBLE 1.1d
21 May 2025 13:00 23 May 2025 01:00 $0.21 $0.22 +6.08% BUBBLE 1.5d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 05:00 $0.20 $0.21 +1.66% BUBBLE 5h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.51% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 08:00 $0.19 $0.20 +4.62% BUBBLE 17h
27 May 2025 02:00 27 May 2025 19:00 $0.19 $0.21 +6.19% BUBBLE 18h
28 May 2025 19:00 29 May 2025 02:00 $0.20 $0.21 +4.45% BUBBLE 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ID signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Space ID Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ID signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +106.4% Return -5.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees