Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

LTC — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LTC Signals →

LTC — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+132.2%
€10,000 →
€23,216
Win Rate
81.2%
13W / 3L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.06%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+130.03%
▲ +2.13
Win Rate
83.3%
▼ -2.13
Sharpe
16.88
▼ -16.88
Alpha vs B&H
+115.31pp
▼ -115.31
Max DD
-1.77%
▼ -2.29
Avg DD
-3.35%
▲ +3.35
Risk / Reward
73.42×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+132.16%
Win Rate
81.2%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.06%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+19.37%
▲ +112.79
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +81.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.06
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LTC

LTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.0%
18t
 		+92.2%
19t
 		+35.3%
15t
 		+52.5%
14t
 		+67.6%
14t
 		+34.5%
14t
 		+86.2%
15t
 		+67.0%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +6,292.6%

All months for LTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LTC — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
-1.8
6
+1.6
7
—
8
—
9
+1.8
10
-0.4
11
—
12
+1.1
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+31.0
17
—
18
+0.4
19
+7.5
20
+6.0
21
+5.3
22
—
23
—
24
+7.5
25
+1.9
26
—
27
—
28
+6.1
29
—
30
+19.6
31
+4.5
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +132.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +16.04% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 78.6% +4.28% +77.00% 13h
BULL 2 100.0% +16.04% +32.40% 1.7d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 05:00 05 Jan 2025 09:00 $112.28 $110.88 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
05 Jan 2025 22:00 06 Jan 2025 01:00 $116.02 $116.17 -0.03% BUBBLE 4h
06 Jan 2025 14:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $114.01 $116.01 +1.62% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 18:00 $102.26 $104.16 +1.76% BUBBLE 1.3d
10 Jan 2025 14:00 10 Jan 2025 16:00 $104.90 $104.56 -0.42% BUBBLE 3h
11 Jan 2025 20:00 12 Jan 2025 02:00 $103.73 $104.92 +1.05% BULL 7h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 16:00 $95.57 $125.34 +31.02% BULL 3.2d
18 Jan 2025 08:00 18 Jan 2025 11:00 $127.01 $127.64 +0.40% BUBBLE 4h
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $115.15 $124.33 +7.53% BUBBLE 5h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $116.83 $124.06 +6.02% BUBBLE 5h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 12:00 $115.62 $121.91 +5.30% BUBBLE 12h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 24 Jan 2025 15:00 $113.50 $122.13 +7.50% BUBBLE 1.5d
25 Jan 2025 04:00 25 Jan 2025 14:00 $124.26 $126.76 +1.91% BUBBLE 11h
27 Jan 2025 09:00 28 Jan 2025 02:00 $109.09 $115.83 +6.07% BUBBLE 18h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 30 Jan 2025 12:00 $110.66 $132.43 +19.55% BUBBLE 1.6d
31 Jan 2025 02:00 31 Jan 2025 10:00 $126.95 $132.83 +4.53% BUBBLE 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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81.2% Win Rate +132.2% Return -4.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees