Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

LTC — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 19 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.75
Alpha vs B&H
+86.78pp
Risk / Reward
52.44×
B&H Return
+5.41%
Max Drawdown
-1.76%
Avg Drawdown
-4.49%
Sharpe Trend
-5.80
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+92.18%
Win Rate
84.2%
Sharpe
14.75
Alpha vs B&H
+86.78pp
Max DD
-1.76%
Avg DD
-4.49%
Risk / Reward
52.44×
Trades
19
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+111.73%
▼ -19.55
Win Rate
81.7%
▲ +2.51
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.75
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +86.78
Max DD
-6.29%
▲ +4.53
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.49
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+43.60%
▲ +48.58
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +84.21
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.75
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +86.78
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -1.76
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.49
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LTC

LTC Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.0%
18t
+92.2%
19t
+35.3%
15t
+52.5%
14t
+67.6%
14t
+34.5%
14t
+86.2%
15t
+67.0%
15t
+6,292.6%

All months for LTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LTC — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+10.2
4
+0.2
5
-1.3
6
+1.6
7
+5.3
8
-0.2
9
+3.3
10
+6.8
11
12
13
+7.1
14
+6.5
15
16
17
-1.8
18
19
+7.9
20
21
+4.9
22
23
+1.4
24
25
+2.3
26
+0.6
27
+4.3
28
+7.8
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +92.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 84.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.8%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.26% on 16 trades, WR 81%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 81.3% +3.26% +65.70% 12h
BULL 1 100.0% +10.24% +10.24% 9h
BEAR 1 100.0% +4.29% +4.29% 5h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +0.21% +0.21% 2h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +10.24% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.21% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.34% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.32% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.76% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.08% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.47% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.76% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.85% SIDEWAYS 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.56% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.29% BEAR 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.84% SIDEWAYS 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

84.2% Win Rate +92.2% Return -1.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees