Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

LTC — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LTC Signals →

LTC — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+111.7%
€10,000 →
€21,173
Win Rate
81.7%
13W / 3L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.29%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+92.18%
▲ +19.55
Win Rate
84.2%
▼ -2.51
Sharpe
14.75
▼ -14.75
Alpha vs B&H
+86.78pp
▼ -86.78
Max DD
-1.76%
▼ -4.53
Avg DD
-4.49%
▲ +4.49
Risk / Reward
52.44×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+111.73%
Win Rate
81.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.29%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+43.60%
▲ +68.13
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +81.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -6.29
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LTC

LTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.0%
18t
 		+92.2%
19t
 		+35.3%
15t
 		+52.5%
14t
 		+67.6%
14t
 		+34.5%
14t
 		+86.2%
15t
 		+67.0%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +6,292.6%

All months for LTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LTC — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+19.4
5
-1.4
6
+1.5
7
+5.3
8
-0.2
9
+3.3
10
—
11
+8.7
12
—
13
+8.1
14
+6.5
15
—
16
—
17
-1.8
18
—
19
+6.4
20
—
21
+4.9
22
—
23
+1.4
24
—
25
—
26
+11.5
27
+5.4
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +111.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.88% on 14 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 78.6% +3.88% +68.61% 14h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +19.43% +19.43% 24h
BEAR 1 100.0% +5.35% +5.35% 4h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $89.70 $107.57 +19.43% BUBBLE 24h
05 Feb 2025 11:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $106.77 $105.48 -1.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 04:00 06 Feb 2025 06:00 $106.36 $108.13 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 12:00 $99.87 $105.29 +5.32% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Feb 2025 01:00 08 Feb 2025 03:00 $103.84 $103.76 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Feb 2025 19:00 09 Feb 2025 15:00 $104.49 $108.02 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 21h
10 Feb 2025 04:00 11 Feb 2025 00:00 $112.83 $122.78 +8.71% SIDEWAYS 21h
12 Feb 2025 05:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $117.34 $126.91 +8.05% SIDEWAYS 21h
13 Feb 2025 14:00 14 Feb 2025 01:00 $119.89 $127.78 +6.47% SIDEWAYS 12h
17 Feb 2025 21:00 17 Feb 2025 23:00 $123.99 $122.31 -1.76% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 12:00 19 Feb 2025 11:00 $127.59 $135.92 +6.36% SIDEWAYS 24h
20 Feb 2025 13:00 21 Feb 2025 08:00 $128.50 $134.45 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 20h
21 Feb 2025 21:00 21 Feb 2025 23:00 $127.48 $128.10 +0.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Feb 2025 01:00 23 Feb 2025 09:00 $126.51 $128.43 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 9h
25 Feb 2025 04:00 26 Feb 2025 15:00 $113.19 $126.38 +11.54% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Feb 2025 04:00 27 Feb 2025 07:00 $122.77 $129.52 +5.35% BEAR 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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81.7% Win Rate +111.7% Return -6.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees