Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

LTC — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.06%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+35.34%
▲ +3.54
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -31.43
Sharpe
7.55
▼ -7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+68.43pp
▼ -68.43
Max DD
-3.25%
▼ -2.81
Avg DD
-3.67%
▲ +3.67
Risk / Reward
10.87×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+38.88%
Win Rate
61.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.06%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+37.16%
▲ +1.72
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +61.90
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -6.06
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LTC

LTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.0%
18t
+92.2%
19t
+35.3%
15t
+52.5%
14t
+67.6%
14t
+34.5%
14t
+86.2%
15t
+67.0%
15t
+6,292.6%

All months for LTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LTC — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
-3.3
3
4
5
6
+5.7
7
8
+0.5
9
10
+2.0
11
+3.6
12
+3.7
13
14
15
+6.9
16
17
+4.1
18
19
20
+6.4
21
+0.8
22
23
+1.1
24
25
+1.5
26
+2.3
27
28
+0.9
29
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +38.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 61.9%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.02% on 13 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 100.0% +3.02% +46.77% 24h
BEAR 1 0.0% -3.25% -3.25% 10h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 05:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $122.25 $118.89 -3.25% BEAR 10h
04 Mar 2025 14:00 06 Mar 2025 03:00 $101.42 $107.37 +5.70% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
06 Mar 2025 21:00 08 Mar 2025 01:00 $103.94 $104.59 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $94.62 $96.57 +1.96% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 17:00 $87.35 $90.55 +3.56% SIDEWAYS 17h
12 Mar 2025 14:00 12 Mar 2025 22:00 $88.43 $91.76 +3.66% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Mar 2025 17:00 15 Mar 2025 08:00 $86.61 $92.70 +6.92% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
16 Mar 2025 12:00 17 Mar 2025 16:00 $89.07 $93.07 +4.06% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Mar 2025 13:00 20 Mar 2025 01:00 $87.49 $93.25 +6.38% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Mar 2025 14:00 21 Mar 2025 14:00 $92.62 $93.47 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 1d
22 Mar 2025 03:00 23 Mar 2025 13:00 $91.13 $92.29 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
24 Mar 2025 02:00 25 Mar 2025 08:00 $91.69 $93.15 +1.45% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Mar 2025 21:00 26 Mar 2025 01:00 $93.43 $95.64 +2.26% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Mar 2025 21:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $86.52 $87.35 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

61.9% Win Rate +38.9% Return -6.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees