Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

LTC — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.60%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+86.16%
▼ -11.27
Win Rate
86.7%
▲ +13.33
Sharpe
15.52
▼ -15.52
Alpha vs B&H
+64.30pp
▼ -64.30
Max DD
-0.72%
▼ -2.88
Avg DD
-3.13%
▲ +3.13
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+74.89%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.60%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+90.67%
▼ -15.78
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.60
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

LTC

LTC Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.0%
18t
+92.2%
19t
+35.3%
15t
+52.5%
14t
+67.6%
14t
+34.5%
14t
+86.2%
15t
+67.0%
15t
+6,292.6%

All months for LTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — LTC — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
+10.4
12
13
+4.8
14
15
16
17
+4.8
18
+6.8
19
20
21
+7.5
22
23
+3.4
24
+4.3
25
+4.2
26
27
+1.9
28
+0.1
29
+0.3
30
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +74.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.15% on 12 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 100.0% +4.15% +62.15% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2025 17:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $85.64 $94.95 +10.42% BUBBLE 3.4d
12 Jul 2025 14:00 13 Jul 2025 19:00 $91.77 $96.33 +4.80% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jul 2025 03:00 17 Jul 2025 03:00 $91.88 $96.43 +4.76% BUBBLE 2d
17 Jul 2025 16:00 18 Jul 2025 08:00 $101.58 $108.64 +6.84% BUBBLE 17h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 06:00 $111.80 $120.70 +7.52% BUBBLE 1.2d
22 Jul 2025 01:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $116.84 $121.05 +3.44% BUBBLE 1d
24 Jul 2025 05:00 24 Jul 2025 15:00 $108.63 $113.48 +4.33% BUBBLE 11h
25 Jul 2025 04:00 25 Jul 2025 11:00 $110.90 $115.67 +4.20% BUBBLE 8h
26 Jul 2025 00:00 27 Jul 2025 06:00 $113.23 $115.44 +1.85% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 Jul 2025 19:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $113.84 $114.09 +0.12% BUBBLE 7h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 05:00 $109.28 $109.73 +0.31% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 01:00 31 Jul 2025 01:00 $108.98 $110.43 +1.23% BUBBLE 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +74.9% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees