Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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RNDR Render Paper Trade

RNDR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ RNDR Signals →

RNDR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+59.8%
€10,000 →
€15,983
Win Rate
88.9%
14W / 3L
Trades
17
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.51%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+58.36%
▲ +1.47
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +5.57
Sharpe
8.10
▼ -8.10
Alpha vs B&H
+68.15pp
▼ -68.15
Max DD
-2.25%
▼ -5.26
Avg DD
-4.13%
▲ +4.13
Risk / Reward
25.88×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+59.83%
Win Rate
88.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.51%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
V2.5.8.3
Return
+65.02%
▼ -5.19
Win Rate
91.7%
▼ -2.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.07%
▼ -7.44
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

RNDR

RNDR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +95.3%
18t
 		+104.5%
12t
 		+58.4%
18t
 		+122.0%
12t
 		+110.1%
15t
 		+42.2%
13t
 		+82.7%
11t
 		+69.7%
11t
—
—
—
—
 +12,912.7%

All months for RNDR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — RNDR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
—
4
—
5
+6.4
6
+2.0
7
-1.9
8
+1.1
9
—
10
+0.8
11
—
12
+5.2
13
—
14
+11.3
15
—
16
—
17
+4.8
18
—
19
+5.3
20
+0.4
21
—
22
—
23
+2.9
24
+2.9
25
+6.1
26
—
27
—
28
+2.4
29
—
30
—
31
+3.4
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +59.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.11% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 86.7% +3.11% +57.33% 15h
BEAR 2 50.0% +2.06% +3.98% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $3.82 $3.76 -2.25% BEAR 13h
04 Mar 2025 14:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $3.42 $3.65 +6.37% BEAR 1d
06 Mar 2025 03:00 06 Mar 2025 05:00 $3.83 $3.91 +1.98% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Mar 2025 19:00 07 Mar 2025 06:00 $3.80 $3.74 -1.91% SIDEWAYS 12h
08 Mar 2025 17:00 08 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.51 $3.56 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $3.03 $3.08 +1.43% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Mar 2025 19:00 10 Mar 2025 21:00 $2.79 $2.78 -0.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Mar 2025 10:00 12 Mar 2025 11:00 $2.90 $3.06 +5.19% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
13 Mar 2025 19:00 14 Mar 2025 22:00 $2.89 $3.22 +11.26% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.13 $3.29 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 24h
18 Mar 2025 09:00 19 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.15 $3.33 +5.29% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.28 $3.30 +0.45% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 12:00 23 Mar 2025 17:00 $3.19 $3.29 +2.88% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
24 Mar 2025 06:00 24 Mar 2025 16:00 $3.71 $3.83 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 11h
25 Mar 2025 05:00 25 Mar 2025 12:00 $3.82 $4.06 +6.13% SIDEWAYS 8h
28 Mar 2025 20:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $3.63 $3.73 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 4h
31 Mar 2025 00:00 31 Mar 2025 05:00 $3.39 $3.52 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 6h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → RNDR Signals → View Plans →
88.9% Win Rate +59.8% Return -7.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees