Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+65.4%
€10,000 →
€16,535
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.18%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+69.97%
▼ -4.62
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
12.31
▼ -12.31
Alpha vs B&H
+91.25pp
▼ -91.25
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.18
Avg DD
-4.20%
▲ +4.20
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+65.35%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.18%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+57.50%
▲ +7.85
Win Rate
88.2%
▲ +11.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.21%
▼ -4.97
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.3
6
—
7
—
8
+0.7
9
+2.9
10
—
11
+0.7
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+24.9
17
—
18
—
19
+3.6
20
+7.1
21
+6.6
22
—
23
—
24
+2.5
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+7.5
29
+2.5
30
+3.9
31
+0.8
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +65.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +12.81% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 100.0% +3.48% +45.28% 12h
BULL 2 100.0% +12.81% +25.80% 2.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 14:00 05 Jan 2025 23:00 $2.44 $2.45 +0.29% BUBBLE 10h
08 Jan 2025 18:00 08 Jan 2025 22:00 $2.14 $2.16 +0.66% BUBBLE 5h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $2.10 $2.17 +2.91% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 11 Jan 2025 11:00 $2.13 $2.15 +0.72% BULL 1.3d
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 18:00 $1.94 $2.43 +24.90% BULL 3.3d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $2.09 $2.18 +3.59% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $2.01 $2.16 +7.06% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 23:00 $1.98 $2.12 +6.59% BUBBLE 23h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 24 Jan 2025 12:00 $2.02 $2.07 +2.51% BUBBLE 24h
27 Jan 2025 07:00 28 Jan 2025 03:00 $1.79 $1.92 +7.45% BUBBLE 21h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 13:00 $1.80 $1.85 +2.51% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jan 2025 02:00 30 Jan 2025 14:00 $1.94 $2.02 +3.91% BUBBLE 13h
31 Jan 2025 03:00 31 Jan 2025 07:00 $1.92 $1.94 +0.83% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +65.4% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees