Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

THETA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.08
Alpha vs B&H
+98.56pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-4.63%
Max Drawdown
-0.41%
Avg Drawdown
-5.71%
Sharpe Trend
+11.00
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+93.94%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
15.08
Alpha vs B&H
+98.56pp
Max DD
-0.41%
Avg DD
-5.71%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
10
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+91.78%
▲ +2.16
Win Rate
83.3%
▼ -3.30
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.08
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +98.56
Max DD
-7.39%
▲ +6.98
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.71
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+58.59%
▲ +35.35
Win Rate
94.1%
▼ -14.10
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.08
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +98.56
Max DD
-0.21%
▼ -0.20
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.71
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
+88.6%
14t
+40.6%
14t
+93.9%
10t
+142.6%
14t
+14.7%
7t
+96.2%
14t
+85.1%
12t
+8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
+6.7
9
+13.1
10
11
-0.1
12
+4.3
13
14
15
16
-0.4
17
18
19
+6.3
20
21
+4.7
22
23
+9.2
24
25
+9.8
26
27
28
29
+14.1
30
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +93.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.95% on 9 trades, WR 78%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 77.8% +5.95% +67.01% 1.1d
BULL 1 100.0% +14.08% +14.08% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +6.72% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +13.13% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.28% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.69% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.16% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +9.83% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +14.08% BULL 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

80.0% Win Rate +93.9% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees