Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+42.0%
€10,000 →
€14,200
Win Rate
52.8%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.96%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+40.61%
▲ +1.39
Win Rate
78.6%
▼ -25.77
Sharpe
7.55
▼ -7.55
Alpha vs B&H
+71.46pp
▼ -71.46
Max DD
-2.25%
▼ -5.71
Avg DD
-4.72%
▲ +4.72
Risk / Reward
18.01×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+42.00%
Win Rate
52.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.96%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+61.44%
▼ -19.44
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -32.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.11%
▼ -6.85
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
—
4
—
5
+6.7
6
—
7
+0.4
8
—
9
—
10
+1.6
11
—
12
+10.2
13
—
14
—
15
+5.1
16
—
17
+6.5
18
-0.2
19
+3.5
20
+0.3
21
—
22
+1.2
23
-1.1
24
—
25
+7.4
26
+1.6
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +42.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.06% on 12 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +3.06% +42.71% 18h
BEAR 2 50.0% +2.25% +4.35% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 13:00 $1.18 $1.16 -2.25% BEAR 12h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.99 $1.06 +6.75% BEAR 1.1d
06 Mar 2025 23:00 07 Mar 2025 15:00 $1.06 $1.07 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.90 $0.92 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.81 $0.89 +10.23% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
13 Mar 2025 16:00 15 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.85 $0.90 +5.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Mar 2025 12:00 17 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.86 $0.92 +6.51% SIDEWAYS 23h
18 Mar 2025 07:00 18 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.90 $0.90 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Mar 2025 22:00 19 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.91 $0.95 +3.53% SIDEWAYS 23h
20 Mar 2025 16:00 20 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.93 $0.94 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 11:00 22 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.91 $0.93 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
23 Mar 2025 03:00 23 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.94 $0.93 -1.05% SIDEWAYS 6h
23 Mar 2025 21:00 25 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.91 $0.98 +7.44% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Mar 2025 03:00 26 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.98 $1.00 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
52.8% Win Rate +42.0% Return -8.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees