Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 10 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+91.8%
€10,000 →
€19,178
Win Rate
83.3%
8W / 2L
Trades
10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.39%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+93.94%
▼ -2.16
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +3.30
Sharpe
15.08
▼ -15.08
Alpha vs B&H
+98.56pp
▼ -98.56
Max DD
-0.41%
▼ -6.98
Avg DD
-5.71%
▲ +5.71
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
10
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+91.78%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.39%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
V2.5.8.3
Return
+58.59%
▲ +33.19
Win Rate
94.1%
▼ -10.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.21%
▼ -7.18
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+6.7
9
+13.0
10
—
11
-0.1
12
+4.3
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
-0.4
17
—
18
—
19
+6.3
20
—
21
+4.8
22
—
23
+9.2
24
—
25
+9.8
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+12.8
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +91.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.95% on 9 trades, WR 78%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 77.8% +5.95% +67.04% 1.1d
BULL 1 100.0% +12.79% +12.79% 1.4d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 04:00 08 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.69 $0.73 +6.72% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Apr 2025 00:00 09 Apr 2025 22:00 $0.68 $0.78 +12.99% SIDEWAYS 23h
10 Apr 2025 14:00 11 Apr 2025 22:00 $0.74 $0.74 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
12 Apr 2025 11:00 12 Apr 2025 18:00 $0.72 $0.76 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 8h
16 Apr 2025 18:00 16 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.64 $0.64 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Apr 2025 14:00 19 Apr 2025 10:00 $0.63 $0.67 +6.28% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
20 Apr 2025 10:00 21 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.65 $0.68 +4.84% SIDEWAYS 16h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $0.64 $0.70 +9.16% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Apr 2025 04:00 25 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.67 $0.74 +9.83% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 10:00 $0.69 $0.79 +12.79% BULL 1.4d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +91.8% Return -7.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees