Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+136.5%
€10,000 →
€23,653
Win Rate
100.0%
14W / 0L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.76%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+142.60%
▼ -6.07
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
18.24
▼ -18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+136.52pp
▼ -136.52
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -7.76
Avg DD
-4.63%
▲ +4.63
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+136.53%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.76%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.15%
▲ +69.38
Win Rate
78.9%
▲ +21.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-4.83%
▼ -2.93
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+3.0
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+36.5
11
+0.8
12
—
13
—
14
+5.9
15
—
16
+3.8
17
—
18
+8.7
19
—
20
+7.9
21
+1.8
22
—
23
+8.3
24
+0.7
25
+1.1
26
+5.4
27
+6.2
28
—
29
+3.2
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +136.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.99% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +9.99% +55.74% 1.5d
BUBBLE 9 100.0% +4.81% +52.10% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 23:00 05 May 2025 18:00 $0.68 $0.71 +2.95% BULL 20h
06 May 2025 13:00 10 May 2025 10:00 $0.68 $0.93 +36.51% BULL 3.9d
11 May 2025 16:00 11 May 2025 23:00 $0.98 $0.99 +0.81% BULL 8h
12 May 2025 19:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $1.00 $1.06 +5.88% BULL 1.3d
15 May 2025 14:00 16 May 2025 10:00 $0.89 $0.93 +3.82% BULL 21h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $0.85 $0.92 +8.66% BUBBLE 22h
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 06:00 $0.83 $0.90 +7.85% BUBBLE 19h
20 May 2025 19:00 21 May 2025 05:00 $0.89 $0.91 +1.82% BUBBLE 11h
21 May 2025 18:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.89 $0.97 +8.30% BUBBLE 1.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $0.87 $0.88 +0.74% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.85 $0.86 +1.12% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 08:00 $0.83 $0.87 +5.39% BUBBLE 17h
27 May 2025 02:00 27 May 2025 21:00 $0.84 $0.89 +6.24% BUBBLE 20h
28 May 2025 15:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $0.86 $0.89 +3.19% BUBBLE 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +136.5% Return -7.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees