Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+100.1%
€10,000 →
€20,005
Win Rate
85.4%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.55%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+96.16%
▲ +3.89
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -0.31
Sharpe
14.79
▼ -14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+80.37pp
▼ -80.37
Max DD
-0.16%
▼ -3.39
Avg DD
-3.42%
▲ +3.42
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+100.05%
Win Rate
85.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.55%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+69.85%
▲ +30.20
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -8.40
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.28%
▼ -3.27
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+3.7
8
—
9
—
10
+8.8
11
+2.7
12
-0.2
13
—
14
+6.3
15
—
16
+9.6
17
—
18
+9.0
19
+2.3
20
—
21
+6.7
22
—
23
+6.0
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+8.0
29
+2.6
30
—
31
+4.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +100.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.70% on 13 trades, WR 85%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 84.6% +4.70% +80.59% 23h
BULL 1 100.0% +8.78% +8.78% 2.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.68 $0.71 +3.69% BUBBLE 1d
07 Jul 2025 21:00 10 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.68 $0.75 +8.78% BULL 2.3d
10 Jul 2025 17:00 11 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.76 $0.79 +2.73% BUBBLE 8h
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.80 $0.80 -0.16% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.77 $0.82 +6.33% BUBBLE 1.4d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.78 $0.85 +9.60% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 06:00 18 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.85 $0.94 +9.04% BUBBLE 1.2d
18 Jul 2025 23:00 19 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.88 $0.90 +2.30% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 05:00 $0.90 $0.97 +6.65% BUBBLE 1.2d
22 Jul 2025 05:00 23 Jul 2025 05:00 $0.93 $0.99 +6.04% BUBBLE 1d
23 Jul 2025 21:00 23 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.89 $0.90 -0.07% BUBBLE 3h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 28 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.86 $0.93 +7.96% BUBBLE 3d
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.85 $0.88 +2.63% BUBBLE 6h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.82 $0.86 +4.32% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
85.4% Win Rate +100.1% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees