Paper Trades / TRUMP / TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRUMP Official Trump Paper Trade

TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Official Trump (TRUMP) is a Solana memecoin launched in January 2025 around the US presidential inauguration. Trading history is limited to roughly one cycle, with extreme launch volatility followed by sentiment-driven swings. Price action is dominated by political news, social-media activity, and broader memecoin-rotation flows.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TRUMP Signals →

TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Official Trump (TRUMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+37.6%
€10,000 →
€13,758
Win Rate
81.2%
12W / 3L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-20.57%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+42.52%
▼ -4.94
Win Rate
70.6%
▲ +10.61
Sharpe
6.37
▼ -6.37
Alpha vs B&H
+42.31pp
▼ -42.31
Max DD
-9.92%
▼ -10.65
Avg DD
-12.64%
▲ +12.64
Risk / Reward
4.29×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+37.58%
Win Rate
81.2%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-20.57%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRUMP

TRUMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
—
 +0.0%
0t
—
—
 +42.5%
17t
 		+5.6%
15t
 		+37.1%
20t
 		+55.5%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +220.7%

All months for TRUMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRUMP — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.5
6
—
7
+1.5
8
+11.0
9
—
10
+0.2
11
+0.9
12
—
13
—
14
+5.9
15
—
16
+2.2
17
—
18
+5.4
19
—
20
+14.0
21
—
22
—
23
-9.4
24
-0.6
25
—
26
+0.3
27
+1.6
28
—
29
-0.2
30
+1.0
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +37.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -20.6% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.17% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 100.0% +3.17% +23.88% 23h
BUBBLE 8 62.5% +1.51% +11.10% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 07:00 05 May 2025 14:00 $11.15 $11.25 +0.48% BULL 1.3d
06 May 2025 09:00 07 May 2025 13:00 $10.73 $10.92 +1.46% BULL 1.2d
08 May 2025 02:00 08 May 2025 16:00 $11.15 $12.41 +11.02% BULL 15h
09 May 2025 17:00 10 May 2025 02:00 $14.48 $14.54 +0.22% BULL 10h
11 May 2025 08:00 11 May 2025 19:00 $13.61 $13.76 +0.91% BULL 12h
12 May 2025 19:00 14 May 2025 01:00 $12.69 $13.46 +5.90% BULL 1.3d
15 May 2025 11:00 16 May 2025 15:00 $12.68 $12.98 +2.20% BULL 1.2d
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $12.75 $13.49 +5.37% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 07:00 20 May 2025 23:00 $12.64 $14.44 +13.96% BUBBLE 1.7d
21 May 2025 18:00 23 May 2025 22:00 $14.08 $12.79 -9.40% BUBBLE 2.2d
24 May 2025 11:00 24 May 2025 22:00 $12.93 $12.88 -0.58% BUBBLE 12h
25 May 2025 14:00 26 May 2025 13:00 $12.57 $12.63 +0.32% BUBBLE 24h
27 May 2025 02:00 27 May 2025 20:00 $12.59 $12.81 +1.58% BUBBLE 19h
28 May 2025 14:00 29 May 2025 11:00 $12.47 $12.47 -0.16% BUBBLE 22h
30 May 2025 01:00 30 May 2025 05:00 $11.60 $11.73 +0.96% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRUMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Official Trump Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRUMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TRUMP Signals → View Plans →
81.2% Win Rate +37.6% Return -20.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees