Paper Trades / TRUMP / TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

TRUMP Official Trump Paper Trade

TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 20 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Official Trump (TRUMP) is a Solana memecoin launched in January 2025 around the US presidential inauguration. Trading history is limited to roughly one cycle, with extreme launch volatility followed by sentiment-driven swings. Price action is dominated by political news, social-media activity, and broader memecoin-rotation flows.

TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Official Trump (TRUMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.88
Alpha vs B&H
+32.51pp
Risk / Reward
19.81×
B&H Return
+4.56%
Max Drawdown
-1.87%
Avg Drawdown
-3.49%
Sharpe Trend
-0.92
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+37.08%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
9.88
Alpha vs B&H
+32.51pp
Max DD
-1.87%
Avg DD
-3.49%
Risk / Reward
19.81×
Trades
20
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+47.48%
▼ -10.40
Win Rate
84.4%
▼ -4.40
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.88
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +32.51
Max DD
-4.76%
▲ +2.89
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.49
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open v4.0 page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRUMP

TRUMP Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+0.0%
0t
+42.5%
17t
+5.6%
15t
+37.1%
20t
+55.5%
12t
+220.7%

All months for TRUMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
+2.6
10
11
+1.4
12
-0.4
13
+2.3
14
+0.3
15
16
+6.7
17
+1.9
18
+3.1
19
20
+2.8
21
+1.8
22
+4.1
23
-0.1
24
25
+2.1
26
27
+1.0
28
29
+0.7
30
+0.3
31
+1.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +37.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.9%.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +1.53% on 19 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 19 78.9% +1.53% +33.05% 10h
BULL 1 100.0% +2.64% +2.64% 3.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.64% BULL 3.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.40% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.45% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.31% BUBBLE 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.21% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.87% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.65% BUBBLE 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.85% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.32% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.26% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.79% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.76% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.29% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.81% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.06% BUBBLE 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.03% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.67% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.26% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.34% BUBBLE 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRUMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Official Trump Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRUMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

80.0% Win Rate +37.1% Return -1.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees