Paper Trades / TRUMP / TRUMP — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRUMP Official Trump Paper Trade

TRUMP — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 15 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Official Trump (TRUMP) is a Solana memecoin launched in January 2025 around the US presidential inauguration. Trading history is limited to roughly one cycle, with extreme launch volatility followed by sentiment-driven swings. Price action is dominated by political news, social-media activity, and broader memecoin-rotation flows.

TRUMP — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Official Trump (TRUMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.75%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
5W / 10L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+5.56%
▲ +4.87
Win Rate
33.3%
▼ -6.63
Sharpe
1.54
▼ -1.54
Alpha vs B&H
+26.17pp
▼ -26.17
Max DD
-7.46%
▼ -0.29
Avg DD
-5.92%
▲ +5.92
Risk / Reward
0.75×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+10.43%
Win Rate
26.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.75%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRUMP

TRUMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+0.0%
0t
+42.5%
17t
+5.6%
15t
+37.1%
20t
+55.5%
12t
+220.7%

All months for TRUMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRUMP — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
3
-0.7
4
-0.1
5
-10.1
6
7
8
+6.3
9
10
+5.1
11
-0.1
12
-0.3
13
14
+1.1
15
16
+0.8
17
-2.7
18
19
20
21
-5.2
22
23
24
+8.5
25
26
27
28
29
30
-0.2
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +10.4%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • Low win rate: 26.7% — profits depend on a few large winners.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.80% on 3 trades, WR 67%.
  • Weakest regime: BULL — avg -0.94% on 7 trades, WR 29%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 3 66.7% +2.80% +8.10% 2.2d
BUBBLE 5 20.0% -0.22% -1.11% 8h
BULL 7 28.6% -0.94% -7.11% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 09:00 $11.23 $11.09 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
02 Jun 2025 00:00 03 Jun 2025 05:00 $11.34 $11.29 -0.75% BULL 1.3d
04 Jun 2025 03:00 04 Jun 2025 10:00 $11.18 $11.20 -0.07% BULL 8h
05 Jun 2025 17:00 05 Jun 2025 20:00 $10.55 $9.51 -10.05% BULL 4h
06 Jun 2025 09:00 08 Jun 2025 07:00 $9.66 $10.29 +6.32% BULL 2d
08 Jun 2025 20:00 10 Jun 2025 12:00 $10.47 $11.02 +5.05% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
11 Jun 2025 04:00 11 Jun 2025 06:00 $10.90 $10.91 -0.07% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jun 2025 14:00 12 Jun 2025 16:00 $10.42 $10.40 -0.35% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jun 2025 05:00 14 Jun 2025 01:00 $9.89 $10.09 +1.86% BUBBLE 21h
14 Jun 2025 17:00 14 Jun 2025 19:00 $10.01 $9.95 -0.76% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jun 2025 22:00 16 Jun 2025 12:00 $9.97 $10.09 +0.79% BULL 15h
17 Jun 2025 02:00 17 Jun 2025 14:00 $9.80 $9.57 -2.65% BULL 13h
18 Jun 2025 04:00 21 Jun 2025 15:00 $9.56 $9.10 -5.16% SIDEWAYS 3.5d
22 Jun 2025 16:00 24 Jun 2025 01:00 $8.55 $9.30 +8.50% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 02:00 $9.05 $9.07 -0.19% BULL 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRUMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Official Trump Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRUMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

26.7% Win Rate +10.4% Return -7.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees