Paper Trades / TRUMP / TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRUMP Official Trump Paper Trade

TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 19 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Official Trump (TRUMP) is a Solana memecoin launched in January 2025 around the US presidential inauguration. Trading history is limited to roughly one cycle, with extreme launch volatility followed by sentiment-driven swings. Price action is dominated by political news, social-media activity, and broader memecoin-rotation flows.

TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Official Trump (TRUMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.76%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
16W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+37.08%
▲ +10.40
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +4.40
Sharpe
9.88
▼ -9.88
Alpha vs B&H
+32.51pp
▼ -32.51
Max DD
-1.87%
▼ -2.89
Avg DD
-3.49%
▲ +3.49
Risk / Reward
19.81×
Trades
20
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+47.48%
Win Rate
84.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.76%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRUMP

TRUMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+0.0%
0t
+42.5%
17t
+5.6%
15t
+37.1%
20t
+55.5%
12t
+220.7%

All months for TRUMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRUMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
+3.9
10
11
+1.8
12
-0.4
13
+1.9
14
+3.0
15
16
+11.3
17
+1.9
18
+4.5
19
20
+3.9
21
22
+0.2
23
+2.4
24
25
26
+1.8
27
+1.0
28
29
+0.7
30
+0.3
31
+1.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +47.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 84.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +1.97% on 18 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 18 83.3% +1.97% +41.35% 12h
BULL 1 100.0% +3.93% +3.93% 3.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 04:00 09 Jul 2025 17:00 $8.49 $8.86 +3.93% BULL 3.6d
11 Jul 2025 01:00 11 Jul 2025 03:00 $9.92 $10.13 +1.80% BUBBLE 3h
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 01:00 $9.92 $9.90 -0.45% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 14:00 13 Jul 2025 13:00 $9.60 $9.80 +1.89% BUBBLE 24h
14 Jul 2025 02:00 14 Jul 2025 04:00 $9.67 $9.93 +2.49% BUBBLE 3h
14 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 22:00 $9.37 $9.43 +0.45% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jul 2025 11:00 16 Jul 2025 11:00 $9.16 $10.21 +11.28% BUBBLE 1d
17 Jul 2025 00:00 17 Jul 2025 09:00 $9.95 $10.15 +1.85% BUBBLE 10h
17 Jul 2025 22:00 18 Jul 2025 07:00 $10.05 $10.55 +4.81% BUBBLE 10h
18 Jul 2025 21:00 18 Jul 2025 23:00 $10.02 $10.01 -0.26% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jul 2025 03:00 20 Jul 2025 22:00 $10.26 $10.70 +3.86% BUBBLE 20h
21 Jul 2025 19:00 22 Jul 2025 00:00 $11.07 $11.13 +0.23% BUBBLE 6h
22 Jul 2025 13:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $10.73 $11.03 +2.54% BUBBLE 13h
23 Jul 2025 17:00 23 Jul 2025 19:00 $10.09 $10.10 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 08:00 26 Jul 2025 10:00 $9.90 $10.10 +1.83% BUBBLE 2.1d
27 Jul 2025 09:00 27 Jul 2025 13:00 $10.06 $10.18 +1.03% BUBBLE 5h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 05:00 $9.65 $9.73 +0.67% BUBBLE 3h
29 Jul 2025 18:00 30 Jul 2025 02:00 $9.45 $9.49 +0.26% BUBBLE 9h
30 Jul 2025 15:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $9.30 $9.44 +1.34% BUBBLE 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRUMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Official Trump Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRUMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

84.4% Win Rate +47.5% Return -4.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees