Paper Trades / TRX / TRX — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRX TRON Paper Trade

TRX — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

TRON (TRX) is a blockchain platform focused on decentralized content sharing and has become a major network for USDT stablecoin transfers, particularly in Asia. With consistently high transaction volumes and a deflationary token mechanism, TRX shows steady price patterns with periodic momentum bursts. Its relative stability compared to other altcoins makes it suitable for systematic trading strategies.

TRX — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

TRON (TRX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.32%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+29.25%
▼ -2.65
Win Rate
92.9%
▼ -1.16
Sharpe
12.71
▼ -12.71
Alpha vs B&H
+34.37pp
▼ -34.37
Max DD
-0.37%
▼ -1.95
Avg DD
-2.02%
▲ +2.02
Risk / Reward
79.99×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+26.60%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.32%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+7.96%
▲ +18.64
Win Rate
52.4%
▲ +39.30
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-8.59%
▲ +6.27
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRX

TRX Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +43.5%
14t
+29.3%
14t
+30.7%
13t
+26.7%
12t
+30.0%
14t
+12.9%
13t
+24.9%
15t
+21.9%
13t
+586.3%

All months for TRX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRX — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+9.4
4
5
+1.3
6
+1.1
7
+1.9
8
+0.1
9
+0.3
10
11
+6.1
12
13
+0.3
14
15
16
+2.2
17
18
19
20
+1.7
21
+2.4
22
23
24
+2.0
25
26
+1.1
27
28
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +26.6%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +1.57% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 92.3% +1.57% +22.28% 19h
BULL 1 100.0% +9.36% +9.36% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.21 $0.23 +9.36% BULL 22h
04 Feb 2025 11:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.29% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
06 Feb 2025 02:00 06 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 16h
07 Feb 2025 07:00 07 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 13h
08 Feb 2025 09:00 08 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 13h
09 Feb 2025 11:00 09 Feb 2025 15:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Feb 2025 04:00 11 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.09% SIDEWAYS 21h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.30% SIDEWAYS 24h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.16% SIDEWAYS 19h
18 Feb 2025 12:00 20 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.68% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
20 Feb 2025 14:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.44% SIDEWAYS 12h
22 Feb 2025 01:00 24 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 2d
25 Feb 2025 15:00 26 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 10h
26 Feb 2025 19:00 26 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.46% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading TRON Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +26.6% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees