Paper Trades / TRX / TRX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRX TRON Paper Trade

TRX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

TRON (TRX) is a blockchain platform focused on decentralized content sharing and has become a major network for USDT stablecoin transfers, particularly in Asia. With consistently high transaction volumes and a deflationary token mechanism, TRX shows steady price patterns with periodic momentum bursts. Its relative stability compared to other altcoins makes it suitable for systematic trading strategies.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TRX Signals →

TRX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

TRON (TRX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+29.7%
€10,000 →
€12,970
Win Rate
56.3%
11W / 2L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.31%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+30.66%
▼ -0.96
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -28.32
Sharpe
14.33
▼ -14.33
Alpha vs B&H
+27.54pp
▼ -27.54
Max DD
-0.58%
▼ -1.73
Avg DD
-1.69%
▲ +1.69
Risk / Reward
53.01×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+29.70%
Win Rate
56.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.31%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+22.23%
▲ +7.47
Win Rate
80.0%
▼ -23.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.48%
▼ -0.83
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRX

TRX Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +43.5%
14t
 		+29.3%
14t
 		+30.7%
13t
 		+26.7%
12t
 		+30.0%
14t
 		+12.9%
13t
 		+24.9%
15t
 		+21.9%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +586.3%

All months for TRX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+3.9
4
—
5
+3.4
6
—
7
—
8
+2.3
9
—
10
+1.7
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
+1.8
15
+0.5
16
—
17
—
18
+8.3
19
—
20
+2.6
21
—
22
-0.6
23
+0.6
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
+1.7
28
—
29
+1.4
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +29.7%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.45% on 3 trades, WR 67%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +2.02% +21.87% 1.3d
BEAR 3 66.7% +2.45% +7.46% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 03 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.91% BEAR 24h
03 Mar 2025 22:00 05 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.76% BEAR 1.3d
05 Mar 2025 16:00 05 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.24 $0.24 -0.33% BEAR 5h
06 Mar 2025 13:00 08 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
10 Mar 2025 01:00 10 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.23 $0.24 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Mar 2025 14:00 14 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.75% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
14 Mar 2025 13:00 15 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.22 $0.22 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 24h
16 Mar 2025 23:00 18 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.21 $0.23 +8.33% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
20 Mar 2025 10:00 20 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 11h
22 Mar 2025 01:00 22 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.24 -0.58% SIDEWAYS 8h
23 Mar 2025 00:00 23 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Mar 2025 22:00 27 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 4d
28 Mar 2025 10:00 29 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.36% SIDEWAYS 1.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading TRON Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TRX Signals → View Plans →
56.3% Win Rate +29.7% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees