Paper Trades / TRX / TRX — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TRX TRON Paper Trade

TRX — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

TRON (TRX) is a blockchain platform focused on decentralized content sharing and has become a major network for USDT stablecoin transfers, particularly in Asia. With consistently high transaction volumes and a deflationary token mechanism, TRX shows steady price patterns with periodic momentum bursts. Its relative stability compared to other altcoins makes it suitable for systematic trading strategies.

TRX — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

TRON (TRX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.48%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+30.04%
▼ -1.77
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +0.04
Sharpe
12.84
▼ -12.84
Alpha vs B&H
+22.11pp
▼ -22.11
Max DD
-0.34%
▼ -2.14
Avg DD
-1.69%
▲ +1.69
Risk / Reward
89.47×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+28.27%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.48%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+13.10%
▲ +15.17
Win Rate
68.0%
▲ +24.90
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.08%
▼ -1.40
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
25
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TRX

TRX Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +43.5%
14t
+29.3%
14t
+30.7%
13t
+26.7%
12t
+30.0%
14t
+12.9%
13t
+24.9%
15t
+21.9%
13t
+586.3%

All months for TRX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TRX — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+0.1
7
8
9
+6.7
10
11
+1.3
12
+4.4
13
14
+4.6
15
16
+2.6
17
-0.3
18
19
20
+2.2
21
+0.3
22
+2.0
23
24
+1.4
25
26
27
+0.8
28
29
+0.7
30
31
+0.5
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +28.3%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.5%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.27% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 100.0% +3.27% +21.15% 1.5d
BUBBLE 8 87.5% +0.94% +7.76% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 02:00 06 May 2025 01:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.07% BULL 2d
06 May 2025 14:00 09 May 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.26 +6.68% BULL 3d
10 May 2025 06:00 11 May 2025 04:00 $0.26 $0.27 +1.33% BULL 23h
11 May 2025 17:00 12 May 2025 15:00 $0.26 $0.28 +4.41% BULL 23h
13 May 2025 04:00 14 May 2025 17:00 $0.26 $0.28 +4.59% BULL 1.6d
15 May 2025 10:00 16 May 2025 01:00 $0.27 $0.28 +2.56% BULL 16h
17 May 2025 14:00 17 May 2025 17:00 $0.27 $0.27 -0.34% BUBBLE 4h
18 May 2025 20:00 20 May 2025 13:00 $0.27 $0.27 +2.21% BUBBLE 1.8d
21 May 2025 02:00 21 May 2025 14:00 $0.27 $0.27 +0.33% BUBBLE 13h
22 May 2025 05:00 22 May 2025 12:00 $0.27 $0.28 +1.98% BUBBLE 8h
23 May 2025 12:00 24 May 2025 15:00 $0.27 $0.27 +1.40% BUBBLE 1.2d
25 May 2025 04:00 27 May 2025 13:00 $0.27 $0.28 +0.78% BUBBLE 2.4d
29 May 2025 01:00 29 May 2025 13:00 $0.27 $0.28 +0.68% BUBBLE 13h
31 May 2025 01:00 31 May 2025 16:00 $0.26 $0.27 +0.49% BUBBLE 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TRX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading TRON Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TRX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.9% Win Rate +28.3% Return -2.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees