Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+97.9%
€10,000 →
€19,785
Win Rate
95.5%
17W / 1L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-21.28%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
17W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+81.89%
▲ +15.96
Win Rate
94.7%
▲ +0.76
Sharpe
10.28
▼ -10.28
Alpha vs B&H
+107.25pp
▼ -107.25
Max DD
-18.21%
▼ -3.07
Avg DD
-12.92%
▲ +12.92
Risk / Reward
4.50×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+97.85%
Win Rate
95.5%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-21.28%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
V2.5.8.3
Return
+55.91%
▲ +41.94
Win Rate
81.8%
▲ +13.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.17%
▼ -20.11
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
22
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+4.3
3
-18.2
4
+1.9
5
+4.0
6
—
7
+8.3
8
—
9
+13.1
10
—
11
+9.3
12
—
13
+10.7
14
+5.1
15
—
16
—
17
+2.3
18
+3.6
19
+11.3
20
—
21
+2.4
22
—
23
+4.0
24
—
25
—
26
+7.3
27
+3.9
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +97.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 95.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -21.3% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.66% on 15 trades, WR 100%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BULL — avg -6.95% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 100.0% +5.66% +127.07% 17h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +1.93% +1.93% 11h
BULL 2 50.0% -6.95% -14.68% 6h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 03:00 02 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.32% BULL 7h
02 Feb 2025 22:00 03 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 -18.21% BULL 5h
03 Feb 2025 15:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.93% BUBBLE 11h
04 Feb 2025 21:00 05 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.01% SIDEWAYS 14h
06 Feb 2025 20:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +8.33% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 +9.00% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
09 Feb 2025 21:00 09 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.79% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Feb 2025 12:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.12% SIDEWAYS 19h
11 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 10:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +10.65% SIDEWAYS 16h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.13% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
17 Feb 2025 01:00 17 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 13h
18 Feb 2025 08:00 18 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.55% SIDEWAYS 4h
19 Feb 2025 01:00 19 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.01 $0.01 +11.34% SIDEWAYS 13h
20 Feb 2025 02:00 21 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.40% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
22 Feb 2025 01:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.00% SIDEWAYS 1d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 +7.29% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
26 Feb 2025 19:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.89% SIDEWAYS 15h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
95.5% Win Rate +97.9% Return -21.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees