Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 20 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+131.0%
€10,000 →
€23,103
Win Rate
85.0%
17W / 3L
Trades
20
Sharpe
13.33
Alpha vs B&H
+174.77pp
Risk / Reward
45.90×
B&H Return
-43.74%
Max Drawdown
-2.85%
Avg Drawdown
-4.47%
Sharpe Trend
+2.13
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+131.03%
Win Rate
85.0%
Sharpe
13.33
Alpha vs B&H
+174.77pp
Max DD
-2.85%
Avg DD
-4.47%
Risk / Reward
45.90×
Trades
20
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+99.35%
▲ +31.68
Win Rate
85.0%
≈
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.33
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +174.77
Max DD
-5.76%
▲ +2.91
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.47
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+52.54%
▲ +78.49
Win Rate
76.9%
▲ +8.10
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.33
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +174.77
Max DD
-5.74%
▲ +2.89
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.47
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
26
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+6.7
7
+4.4
8
—
9
+1.1
10
+4.2
11
+2.3
12
—
13
—
14
+16.5
15
+17.4
16
—
17
-0.2
18
-1.0
19
+2.5
20
+7.9
21
+6.4
22
—
23
+1.7
24
+1.6
25
+1.4
26
—
27
+3.6
28
—
29
+2.2
30
+7.5
31
+4.8
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +131.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.9%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.97% on 4 trades, WR 75%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 16 87.5% +3.44% +70.72% 9h
BULL 4 75.0% +8.97% +39.48% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +6.74% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.42% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.85% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.03% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.26% BULL 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +16.46% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +17.38% BULL 17h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.22% BULL 21h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.99% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.51% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.90% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.37% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.66% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.59% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.41% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.64% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.15% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.53% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.76% BUBBLE 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
85.0% Win Rate +131.0% Return -2.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees