Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+79.2%
€10,000 →
€17,920
Win Rate
89.7%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.93%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+98.43%
▼ -19.23
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -4.05
Sharpe
11.45
▼ -11.45
Alpha vs B&H
+115.38pp
▼ -115.38
Max DD
-2.67%
▼ -4.26
Avg DD
-5.02%
▲ +5.02
Risk / Reward
36.92×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+79.20%
Win Rate
89.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.93%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+61.52%
▲ +17.68
Win Rate
88.9%
▲ +0.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.27%
▼ -6.66
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+14.9
3
—
4
—
5
+5.3
6
—
7
+2.2
8
—
9
—
10
+5.4
11
+9.8
12
—
13
-1.1
14
—
15
+8.1
16
—
17
+4.2
18
—
19
+4.8
20
—
21
—
22
+4.4
23
+0.7
24
—
25
+3.4
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
+0.9
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +79.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 89.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +10.12% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +3.57% +51.54% 22h
BEAR 2 100.0% +10.12% +21.03% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.01 $0.01 +14.91% BEAR 17h
04 Mar 2025 10:00 05 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.33% BEAR 1.5d
06 Mar 2025 19:00 07 Mar 2025 17:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 23h
09 Mar 2025 19:00 10 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.01 +5.44% SIDEWAYS 18h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.82% SIDEWAYS 19h
12 Mar 2025 09:00 13 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.05% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 15 Mar 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.01 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 2d
16 Mar 2025 21:00 17 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.01 +4.15% SIDEWAYS 23h
18 Mar 2025 14:00 19 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.77% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
21 Mar 2025 08:00 22 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.01 +4.43% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 05:00 23 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Mar 2025 22:00 25 Mar 2025 07:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.53% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
25 Mar 2025 21:00 25 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.01 $0.01 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
89.7% Win Rate +79.2% Return -6.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees