Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 10 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+109.0%
€10,000 →
€20,899
Win Rate
91.7%
9W / 1L
Trades
10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.63%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+115.98%
▼ -6.99
Win Rate
90.0%
▲ +1.70
Sharpe
15.05
▼ -15.05
Alpha vs B&H
+88.93pp
▼ -88.93
Max DD
-0.03%
▼ -6.60
Avg DD
-3.42%
▲ +3.42
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
10
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+108.99%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.63%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
V2.5.8.3
Return
+56.38%
▲ +52.61
Win Rate
70.0%
▲ +21.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-1.01%
▼ -5.62
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+9.1
8
—
9
+17.6
10
—
11
—
12
+8.8
13
—
14
+4.4
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
+9.0
19
0.0
20
—
21
+3.3
22
—
23
+10.5
24
—
25
+7.4
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+17.3
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +109.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +7.78% on 9 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 88.9% +7.78% +94.56% 1.2d
BULL 1 100.0% +17.25% +17.25% 1.5d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.09% SIDEWAYS 15h
08 Apr 2025 23:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +17.58% SIDEWAYS 22h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 12 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.82% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
13 Apr 2025 22:00 14 Apr 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.38% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 10:00 18 Apr 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.00% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
19 Apr 2025 01:00 19 Apr 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 17h
20 Apr 2025 11:00 21 Apr 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.26% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
22 Apr 2025 07:00 23 Apr 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.01 +10.46% SIDEWAYS 1d
24 Apr 2025 04:00 25 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.01 +7.44% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.01 +17.25% BULL 1.5d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
91.7% Win Rate +109.0% Return -6.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees