Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+160.9%
€10,000 →
€26,091
Win Rate
88.9%
13W / 2L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.37%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+183.48%
▼ -22.57
Win Rate
82.4%
▲ +6.55
Sharpe
13.93
▼ -13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+148.92pp
▼ -148.92
Max DD
-7.26%
▼ -2.11
Avg DD
-7.97%
▲ +7.97
Risk / Reward
25.26×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+160.91%
Win Rate
88.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.37%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
V2.5.8.3
Return
+88.04%
▲ +72.87
Win Rate
77.3%
▲ +11.60
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-3.52%
▼ -5.85
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
22
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+36.5
11
+4.2
12
—
13
+1.2
14
+8.1
15
—
16
+6.6
17
+2.6
18
+1.8
19
—
20
+6.3
21
—
22
+14.7
23
-2.6
24
+1.2
25
—
26
+6.0
27
—
28
+12.1
29
+2.1
30
-2.2
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +160.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +11.32% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +11.32% +65.86% 1.3d
BUBBLE 10 80.0% +4.19% +48.83% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 12:00 10 May 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.01 +36.54% BULL 4.1d
11 May 2025 08:00 11 May 2025 18:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.16% BULL 11h
12 May 2025 07:00 13 May 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.24% BULL 18h
13 May 2025 18:00 14 May 2025 05:00 $0.01 $0.01 +8.07% BULL 12h
15 May 2025 07:00 16 May 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.59% BULL 20h
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 04:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.57% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 08:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.83% BUBBLE 9h
19 May 2025 09:00 20 May 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.31% BUBBLE 18h
20 May 2025 15:00 22 May 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 +14.68% BUBBLE 1.9d
23 May 2025 13:00 23 May 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 -2.59% BUBBLE 3h
24 May 2025 04:00 24 May 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.18% BUBBLE 9h
25 May 2025 11:00 26 May 2025 10:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.01% BUBBLE 24h
26 May 2025 23:00 28 May 2025 09:00 $0.01 $0.01 +12.05% BUBBLE 1.5d
28 May 2025 22:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.07% BUBBLE 4h
29 May 2025 23:00 30 May 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 -2.19% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XVG Signals → View Plans →
88.9% Win Rate +160.9% Return -9.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees