Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

XVG — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.20%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+80.48%
▼ -14.42
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
14.63
▼ -14.63
Alpha vs B&H
+99.51pp
▼ -99.51
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.20
Avg DD
-3.51%
▲ +3.51
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+66.06%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.20%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+23.33%
▲ +42.73
Win Rate
85.7%
▲ +14.30
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.77%
▲ +1.57
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
+81.9%
19t
+98.4%
16t
+116.0%
10t
+183.5%
17t
+80.5%
13t
+118.4%
17t
+80.6%
14t
+36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
+0.4
2
3
+3.8
4
5
+1.3
6
7
8
9
10
+7.3
11
12
13
14
+4.0
15
16
+3.7
17
18
19
+1.8
20
21
22
+2.1
23
+16.1
24
+2.4
25
26
27
28
+6.7
29
30
+5.1
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +66.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.97% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 4 100.0% +6.97% +30.22% 1.5d
BULL 6 100.0% +3.74% +24.51% 23h
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +2.21% +4.43% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 +0.38% BUBBLE 11h
02 Jun 2025 12:00 03 Jun 2025 03:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.79% BULL 16h
05 Jun 2025 02:00 05 Jun 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.30% BULL 13h
06 Jun 2025 03:00 10 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +7.28% SIDEWAYS 3.9d
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.03% BUBBLE 24h
15 Jun 2025 17:00 16 Jun 2025 16:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.69% BULL 24h
18 Jun 2025 09:00 19 Jun 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.78% BULL 18h
21 Jun 2025 18:00 22 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Jun 2025 16:00 23 Jun 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.01 +16.08% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Jun 2025 12:00 24 Jun 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.01 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 12h
26 Jun 2025 17:00 28 Jun 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.01 +6.74% BULL 1.8d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.13% BULL 23h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +66.1% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees